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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊(ETH)价格预测:多头在大幅下跌后能否捍卫 4,400 美元?
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以太坊价格从 4,950 美元区间大幅下跌后,目前稳定在 4,430 美元左右。此前,ETH 在 4,900 美元至 5,000 美元之间的主要供应区间遭遇强烈阻力,导致近期涨势止步。尽管 ETH 有所回落,但仍处于上升趋势线支撑位上方,这为买家提供了重整旗鼓、再次推高的机会。以太坊的价格发生了什么变化?* X' b/ f" ~" T9 B/ n, |* K
以太坊在8月份的大部分时间里一直处于长期上涨趋势,从3800美元以下上涨至近5000美元。4小时图上,ETH仍处于上涨趋势,低点仍在不断攀升。4400美元的水平现在是趋势线与局部支撑位交汇的关键转折点。抛物线转向指标(SAR)点仍然位于价格上方,这表明短期存在看跌压力,但整体结构仍然完好。
4 s) W M0 c/ U以太坊价格今天为何下跌?
# V* x$ @! i+ x" {4 Z9 Z! a以太坊价格的当前回调主要受 5,000 美元附近的供应过剩以及日内动能减弱所驱动。30 分钟图显示,ETH 价格受制于下降趋势线,RSI 为 46,反映出需求正在降温。MACD 线仍处于负值区域,但其直方图显示出趋平的早期迹象,表明看跌压力可能正在减弱。! X" N* M- d# [0 M
现货流入也变为负值,Coinglass 数据显示,8 月 26 日净流出 5470 万美元。这表明在本月早些时候强劲上涨后出现了温和的获利回吐。虽然资金流出通常反映的是资金积累,但这种时机加上技术面的回调表明交易员持谨慎立场。
1 t/ |' v c3 i$ h8 q5 B布林带、超级趋势和资金流量指数信号暂停7 T" [) G2 v9 ]4 [1 b, p
4小时图上的布林带显示,价格自4,947美元的上轨回落后,正在测试4,510美元附近的中线。收盘价若高于该水平将缓解下行风险,但若再次受阻则可能引发新的波动。4,100美元附近的200日均线提供了更深的支撑位,而4,510美元和4,380美元附近的20日均线和50日均线构成了交易员的即时决策区间。; t, }+ ?) m9 a! P. w
超级趋势指标在 4,740 美元以下仍然看跌,确认了拒绝区域。同时,DMI 显示 +DI 和 -DI 之间接近平衡,ADX 在 25 左右趋于平缓,表明趋势较弱。8 G, T8 q0 ~1 v; q+ x
日线图上的资金流量指数 (MFI) 为 49,表明在强劲上涨之后,流动性处于中性状态。这表明既没有强劲的资金流入,也没有大规模的资金流出,与当前的盘整走势一致。, G/ I3 f8 G" z) S% i! E( R' V
以太坊价格预测:短期展望(24 小时)
% r2 K- |% R, q: P f如果以太坊价格今日维持在 4,400 美元至 4,380 美元区间,多头可能会尝试反弹至 4,600 美元,然后重新测试 4,750 美元。突破 4,840 美元将重新打开 5,000 美元的大门,届时流动性依然充沛。
2 o: c' P! \' _& g8 t- V下行方面,如果未能守住4,380美元,则可能跌向4,100美元,而200日均线将提供结构性支撑。若跌幅进一步扩大,则可能重新回到日线图上突出显示的3,750美元需求区域。( `5 d; S% Z- U# s4 B4 B
鉴于RSI趋于稳定、MACD动量趋于平缓以及资金流入数据好坏参半,ETH可能会在4,380美元至4,600美元区间盘整,然后再做出下一步决定性走势。交易者应密切关注4,400美元的支点,以判断下一轮波动对买家有利还是卖家有利。
3 a) p/ t+ E/ c! }以太坊价格预测表:2025 年 8 月 27 日6 \( l& F4 m! B. N5 _8 |6 z
指标/区域! I$ i o# ]. D# [ f. _! \/ x: I
电平/信号; d* u& U# f; N
以太坊今日价格
9 u5 K, P, k. z/ T4,430美元
3 [$ B! @. f- v8 P6 C6 ]$ D7 [阻力 1
8 e- c4 F- G; ` Y$ N- M2 ~( h4,600 美元 E4 _0 i# J6 f7 `
抵抗2
; r9 X4 {" b S0 c5 M" M5 F4,840–5,000美元
. X7 z- B2 q( s! E2 X5 G& M8 D! J支持 16 \8 N( z# B0 n: S% r
4,380美元& S! t) d/ q+ V! H9 `2 |
支持 2- M. Q. q/ r( T" N
4,100美元
4 h0 @, N4 n6 j2 m6 ]) Z* @& E sRSI(30分钟)
4 d2 ~4 O& l9 J46.5(中性看跌)' R5 a# }, B$ L3 r6 C6 M
MACD(30分钟)# c& f" J& S( U, W
看跌,趋平2 M( W# U# j2 `% f2 W5 q% s+ s
抛物线转向指标 (4H)7 J4 g# v1 o' V8 V8 K: Z8 i0 B9 S# A
看跌,价格上方的点/ v; H0 V5 x2 k% b
布林带(4H)
+ r3 A3 E+ t$ ~* X中线价位 4,510 美元,偏中性
7 E$ p( a, p1 t" E; H" K$ F0 z超级趋势(4H)
1 b6 L4 ~# W1 v/ i低于 4,740 美元看跌% Y( Y% m0 h+ U$ F% B
资金流量指数(1D)
) o5 x! e3 ]& G& _# w7 h; }49(中性). y( W5 D8 d0 x' k
直接投资 (4H)
! w ]/ q; S; s! Z* i& Q* e持平,ADX 接近 25
* Y: z; G4 |' ~6 R" p+ N8 { |
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ETH价格现在有点犹豫不定,但看跌压力可能在减弱,下个转折点得留心。 |
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