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[lastpost] => 2749378 为什么比特币今天会下跌?分析师认为有3个主要原因!下一波大幅反弹将出现-转 1752948872 爬格子的瘦书生
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境2 S1 h( L+ b6 v& y
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
# A0 y0 D1 k- e! E+ ^, p似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。
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; n; j$ b1 T: l1 H实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。 c2 a# _! E3 \ _7 ^
9 R7 P9 W1 a' V. G a这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。# E7 m0 { P% R5 h
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。3 ?/ U+ C! S; ]- g2 R% R# c
) C0 w. x" v% F H, S+ J# F+ n红色海洋中的四个幸存者+ q: C& d2 U" I, X/ ^9 R) t$ ^
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。' H4 G, J# y& P1 j5 U7 K( J9 a
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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, X' F: E8 s F7 b- N+ g5 T大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。9 }% h0 O, ]! b( `/ ^" Y
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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6 Y9 D/ i. g E8 T' [; W自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
3 X' L% G( ~6 p5 P, O% U$ r: S! p" Z' \: w" L. @+ W7 w: R
Altcoin信誉的消失法案1 y* T" u8 o- ^7 h H
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。* k- z: @) k( d" y
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交易的势头最近也消失了。- P& Y! n. L# s
6 Y3 v3 k$ ~& v4 f# U12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
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! S1 ^4 g' M9 b- A+ L这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。, g( x7 ^( M) c: g+ f" d" W
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。8 ]4 J* E0 Z6 H1 l& t& o- _3 I
4 }$ B c; c- |$ ^$ M当高峰转向警告时- \5 }2 y+ b. X
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。- B" I9 r* C" O# T9 ], F% g- N8 I
% C! X9 O- k( e* Y' }) Y% t5 Z比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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( N) h2 l; z I7 r每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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+ g" ~# t; d8 ^比特币还是胸围?
) P* N8 i4 d. k存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。! Z( J, b, k6 E5 g
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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