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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格损失更多?标准普尔500年可能很快就会发表意见!(转)
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大幅下降后,比特币以每日涨幅为6.75%恢复了 3 K7 R4 o, W% y0 ^+ c% I0 ~
如果标准普尔500指数下降5%,加密货币可能会进一步下降
' ~4 h9 T* R- k. J' {: N6 p自从唐纳德·特朗普总统和随后的贸易战就职以来,美国市场全面遭受了巨大的损失。' Y, }- e }/ ~, t& C4 d9 X p9 f
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面对不确定的宏观经济条件和ZZ问题,美国市场的下降幅度很大。正如预期的那样,这些市场状况极大地影响了更广泛的加密市场比特币在图表上的选举前水平下降。
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这些盛行的条件使利益相关者谈论比特币的轨迹及其对美国市场波动的反应。 h8 @4 J' i9 J
1 V+ q7 @. q6 a& h实际上,根据加密的说法阿克塞尔·阿德勒(Axel Adler),标准普尔500指数将在市场稳定之前再次登记5%的损失。分析师认为,这对加密货币市场很担心。特别是因为比特币与标准普尔500指数有80%的相关性。
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. [4 _4 G6 ~/ q因此,基于这个类比,如果美国市场继续报告损失,比特币也可能会下降。
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标准普尔500分消除了选举后的收益
: P: |$ e; P |9 M" ~- V8 w9 n标准普尔500指数的下降已经看到主要指数消除了他们的大选后收益。他们目前处于选举前的水平(2024年11月)。例如,仅在过去的5天中,标准普尔500指数就下降了45.22点。2 K. t( o2 ~) k0 d3 c
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这种趋势也在整个更广泛的市场中持续存在。% a" h6 E/ @5 J2 b* e/ J h2 U
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考虑到这一点 - 纳斯达克100号看到了所有的收益。同样,自2024年3月以来,中股标准普尔400号股(S&P 400)删除了其收益,最近同样的情况也达到了年度低点。" H! I0 }9 a: |! O
$ d6 X8 Y7 Y7 b9 B0 h- \这种趋势是CPI最近发布的数据,消费者指数FOMC会议和ZZ条件的产物。+ [. x7 ?: {0 M( k( ^3 g
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随着整个美国市场的下降,这种趋势严重影响了加密货币市场。比特币和Altcoins都可以证明这一点也可以证明全面造成巨大的损失。
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, S2 q% ~ X2 p) d) i% X5 [! H' ?比特币对市场波动的反应
9 L. i' r4 w2 g/ G7 D5 I/ u比特币倾向于对美国市场波动有强烈反应。: w, W( {. k0 u3 b+ X! @
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例如,当标准普尔500指数下降45分时,BTC也拒绝命中4个月的低点。由于标准普尔500指数在接下来的24小时内恢复了1.59%,因此比特币也是如此。然而,值得指出的是,BTC的恢复价值为6.74%,这项徒步旅行使其可以在图表上收回$ 84K。
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由于美国投资者(包括机构和个人),这种联系似乎是如此。负面的溢价指数可以证明这一点,在过去的一周中,该指数一直如此。
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) H1 E' h% s. F0 {, R标准普尔500指数的下降与每周的Coinbase指数下降相吻合 - 这是美国投资者,尤其是机构现在是看跌的标志。因此,卖方在股票市场和加密货币市场中占主导地位。因此,美国市场的强劲复苏将看到比特币也带来可观的收益。& [) S1 x8 f$ F; K, l1 s
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因此,由于目前随着市场开始冷却的速度,标准普尔500指数目前正在上升,因此我们还可以看到比特币的价格恢复。在这个级别上,恢复可以看到BTC收回$ 86K,这将加强加密货币再次达到90k美元的尝试。但是,如果美国市场看到更多的负面消息,那么更多的折旧可能临近。5 m1 z! F* O( ^7 g6 Z4 C& u
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