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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
$ k- T" u" W. m- ^* m3 S& m! O行情补充、
$ v( T! e) l! R3 c# g在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
' N- ^% A& q" c/ w/ r市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。
! P* ?2 ]. }! V* y关于疑问、一一回复。 9 M: f8 p8 ~% F( M E H4 a" u
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
5 h' ?4 B+ g' H8 Y7 P6 _ {
+ z5 M- l) E2 s1 G# X: f9 W6 ]首先就个人的主观来说、 6 d; z. q* N/ p
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
# B* o2 E& q" J7 p$ @极度憧憬市场的未来！
4 ?0 E8 h7 q1 y7 f) A但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 4 T( S6 S8 v. T* E3 h; u0 I
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 ' f: A8 r, l2 h% R! r: Y5 R
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。 ' L7 y# n2 A8 d
会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
2 B5 d U- X' e: ?" m/ ]转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 5 f" j# O; v7 P
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
0 Y, I C( b. E X% a- }（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
. y1 x# i# Q' O; y$ m( T4 }& _' x为什么会跌、 5 l2 Z% Z; w8 }& b. D8 e8 h
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
( r y+ v |; i, o, l2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 & b( l% Z5 _! S
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
6 O1 i6 U7 ~* l9 Y* B' g( T综上造成的下跌、 / U" z) u0 e1 d) B$ {. k4 \
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 4 A" S- l2 y) ?7 W& ]
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
1 R! ~ H7 Q$ `1 E7 m9 O# T熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 # K" [' \; L# \4 k
来决定行情是否好转。 2 G+ u$ [* X" S/ Y
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。
; |6 o! S2 O3 x" B+ Z# B. k6 o6 R5 }在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. T' P6 z( e& r' I
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 6 G$ W; A7 t/ ?1 J2 {" {( K
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 + v9 b5 D& i0 s* }9 ?. B
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 2 h; z) q" A* |: f% U. Y
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 7 O O% z2 X% v( n! @/ M
日内大饼反弹、 7 U0 Z( A' O7 C2 o! o" h, o9 P% E
26150高空 ) H4 y6 p; @% P" g
26350补仓
p* Z- _7 O/ J ?6 G; T: y7 v26550防守
0 `1 B. {0 b" w6 ~目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 0 b/ l7 x6 R# Y* f& K' f1 k
以太反弹
6 @- P' I: j9 Q0 h1 g6 K% W1380高空 9 H8 m4 N2 y" ^2 u4 O4 ~, O
1400补仓
x( k* u' G$ b( f G1 s1420防守 7 ?3 z% A0 M6 p+ A G% i3 Z
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 . p0 J" h7 B6 w8 X( M8 `, ^
附言、
" u0 ^& N: o6 X8 Y$ M/ q许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 " @2 I B/ @7 e. p3 v4 g. i' C5 ^" _
是正常现象， 5 T, E- H* I8 r4 H3 u' I c) Q5 g j
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
: V6 h3 {' ?% z7 e. C对于市场、依旧未来可期。 9 d' k$ j0 X, m5 x# G$ G9 i
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
2 u3 q m8 U0 _* M s上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 ; r& { \" [* v1 X3 G0 Z
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
! r1 L2 q% z/ l2 O2 ]; P: U! X6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 9 N5 b M& ] g; R+ H' t2 F
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
4 X3 b- M0 Q9 S2 p4 ?/ T& ~但现阶段，要承受的住。
: f5 U( g) d4 D3 J最后再强调、现货勿割。 1 w. o" B; x0 X6 W+ ^
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
2 K. F3 w% o% y- e) U- N个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 2 O G$ v0 W. s" S% L0 W1 F: P
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
. n$ s7 o1 G2 A, S( ^) t这个市场， # v5 @2 o4 V0 ~: M
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 4 ^/ q4 n' G9 @9 [2 s9 C4 s- O
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 ) i# n8 t) R5 V% F b0 z9 Q
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 1 a \! o5 g4 q# I
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
! a6 W. C* F8 ]; T来源：金色财经 |
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