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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好 6 w! ]% v: ?3 S' k& w# I) g7 E
我是币圈小沫沫~
7 L, P; b$ C; O: y% L: H. UETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。 6 s: K; {4 ^( w# k
8 _; [7 n! m+ v+ S: ^( S
今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌
5 H3 S+ R" n" V: T; f, x至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。 1 q4 K9 [6 \) r( z1 g, T8 u8 \
0 ~) F( {7 D7 M% A7 k! s t六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH ; @" {# Z+ V( z) v
该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。
, c b) N. C# t [/ {; A有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 6 C- ~+ @+ u- ^: b9 V4 A
) S' n# u6 \9 _# K; t& K- NOasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。
9 i! u8 ~7 r# U; R
( V( B( b1 a* f( {, i( r- B: x
果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 7 z; }, M8 V7 D4 J
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 2 u8 W) c3 Y0 g' r/ M
; G+ L. \" c2 A+ s/ u% y; V以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 " v8 ~" [& i" G- ], W" \ `0 R( U& U
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。
- s; I" [6 T& Q' GBrandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。
! C$ x3 I9 C) T由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 . ?6 S4 X; J( G$ o
3 p! F5 ?# F% }' s( ~" H
Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。
) E/ e1 d E- b6 m6 S* b尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 9 R: u5 h4 E$ B$ N# s$ u
% B4 f/ L$ l5 B$ n, n% T如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。 / H$ s: [ r; u; ]
相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。 / T* x6 M4 O7 k; _
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 / e& V* F+ l9 [
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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