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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少,BTC 挖矿哈希率(即网络中的总计算能力)将会减慢。- |+ q- j) P# E
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根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,1 月 27 日,挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿,这是 2025 年的首次降低,而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。; B# ^" r3 y- S m6 N# V
' y% V' Q2 Q7 r" PTheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示,过去七天,挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据,美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。9 l+ f6 ~- I& y4 A1 E
, ]! T6 p, N! F# s难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机,这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率,同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。+ ?3 k5 c3 w1 G5 T( N& i# W5 ~; K
6 t& S5 K6 W: x/ t) L0 N. u矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰
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5 k& p. n9 K* h9 _) W% v6 v" H2024 年,矿业公司将业务多元化,进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心,以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。
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: z% _/ C% u6 K V$ f比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略,将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC,以获取长期价格升值。
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尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹,但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。
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' D' }0 }2 [" I G2 YHashRate Index 的数据显示,25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。
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DeepSeek R1 发布后,矿业股再次受到打击,DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型,其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当,但训练成本仅为其一小部分。/ R7 h7 ?% D9 s' }; i$ O
! O3 t* H2 R; v4 T. BDeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念,包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本,据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。
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这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市,因为一天之内,包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。# e+ v, o0 f7 T! c* S7 Y0 S* H9 M+ P
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投资者抛售 AI 股票,担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。6 W. d* U, R( p) E" }) u- |' @
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