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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币2024年创历史新高 以太坊年内涨幅近50%（转）
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2024年，比特币无疑成为表现最亮眼的资产类别。随着新型比特币交易所交易基金的推出，这种数字资产的普及度得以提升，
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) T- j. Q1 r1 J' l8 o, g加之新总统ZF可能带来的监管放松预期，比特币价格创下历史新高。然而，投资加密货币仍伴随着一贯的波动性和不可预测性。
) t/ w- ^5 ?: Y% S2 l6 q) [/ k, n 比特币的价格自年初以来已经翻倍，从年初约4万美元上涨至目前接近9.4万美元。而以太坊的年内涨幅接近50%，最新交易价" V* Q" |6 j; T! J9 n5 T
7 ~) C1 l% @1 x. b, Z; N格约为3，355美元。
9 B8 R5 T! I$ @! w' E8 |$ S/ q7 N; f9 q0 o; ]* g! u# z1 W
2024年最繁荣的时期出现在美国总统选举后的几周时间里。比特币价格在12月中旬首次突破10.8万美元，主要受益于特朗普8 y; F+ A5 U N6 V
, |8 X1 S% n0 a) k; `9 r' M* g再次当选总统的消息。这一结果让投资者对未来的监管环境更加乐观，市场预计新资金将涌入加密货币领域。
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然而，自此之后，比特币价格出现回落。本月比特币价格下跌，原因是市场预期美联储的降息步伐将慢于预期。此外，年底的
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获利了结和市场震荡也对价格形成压力。) U: y& ~. I! y# u2 U+ N
" R3 |! }9 g8 N% f" Z 今年1月推出的比特币ETF为市场注入了信心。这些基金被资产管理公司宣传为一种更简单的比特币投资方式，全年吸引了数百- y0 H# I U% s5 M8 y8 z) ]/ }0 r
! t. J( ]% q# ~- W' l亿美元的资金。iShares比特币信托ETF（IBIT.US）的资产规模现已超过500亿美元。6 ]2 Z) E! I7 L8 o. S9 O
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以太坊ETF于7月推出，尽管需求不如比特币ETF强劲，仍在不到六个月的时间里吸引了超过20亿美元的净流入。) @, }7 Q% Q: u; G# d" g
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加密货币的强劲表现也推动相关股票创下历史新高。MicroStrategy（MSTR.US）自年初以来暴涨超过360%，Coinbase（COIN.US）. d) o4 p, ~+ U" q+ ^2 v% k
8 ]" |5 z9 ~9 E2 Q+ b8 C
和Robinhood（HOOD.US）的涨幅分别约为43%和196%。MicroStrategy的股价在12月中旬进一步飙升，因为该公司被纳入纳斯达克100指数。9 f( H1 g* S- X7 j9 L/ E4 y. U
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然而，一些矿业股表现不佳，例如Mara Holdings（MARA.US）和Riot Platforms（RIOT.US）的年内跌幅都达到两位数。这一跌势可能
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0 y A X7 G2 A7 {% f% v, ~与今年比特币减半直接相关，因为减半降低了矿工的区块奖励，而区块奖励是矿工通过交易手续费以外获得收入的主要来源之一。( Q/ y& L: b: i5 D) e7 `
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