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[lastpost] => 2768743 从对立到共存?德银预测:黄金与比特币未来或同列央行储备 1758786682 rainwang
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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少,BTC 挖矿哈希率(即网络中的总计算能力)将会减慢。0 ]+ L( u/ V3 I
4 S% q! M, m# C. Z, Y) W9 ?- ?: M+ w根据 CryptoQuant 的数据,1 月 27 日,挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿,这是 2025 年的首次降低,而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。
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' |0 Q' O$ Y4 `9 s8 [TheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示,过去七天,挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据,美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。; \- G6 V3 ^% |- q' C
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难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机,这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率,同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。0 c3 w6 A- Y H
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矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰& K. G" ?/ v6 ?. a3 Y# d& h
8 n# }; t: H" s, t2024 年,矿业公司将业务多元化,进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心,以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。
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比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略,将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC,以获取长期价格升值。2 x3 W5 }2 z2 S/ K- r' ]4 o
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尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹,但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。
# W9 h1 [. \ F+ @ y
; u% f# K/ L$ D8 |3 o" {HashRate Index 的数据显示,25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。+ T: o) U5 H" k9 R- b' r# b8 R
, i( b: ]1 e9 N+ pDeepSeek R1 发布后,矿业股再次受到打击,DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型,其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当,但训练成本仅为其一小部分。: n1 c) j8 V. O( J2 E
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DeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念,包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本,据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。( s7 n) q3 H+ B7 g" m* p5 u
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这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市,因为一天之内,包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。7 V: k \: x" z+ }
& S5 o p. r+ }: y3 g$ c+ f. G投资者抛售 AI 股票,担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。
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