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传统对冲基金做空 USDT?稳定币先行者USDT暴雷?只不过是场闹剧罢了
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2021年夏天,行业流行一句话:咱们现在赚的是美元“放水”的钱。
“放水”+高杠杆撬动了加密市场的牛市,“抽水”+去杠杆中则将市场带向熊市。
机构连环爆雷
今年3月以来,为了对抗通胀,美联储持续大力加息,3月加息25个基点,5月加息50个基点,6月则加息75个基点,这是美国从1994年以来最大的一次加息。
而自5月以来,作为吃到美元“放水”红利的加密市场就没消停过:先是Luna的400亿美元金融帝国崩塌;然后ETH2.0全球最大去中心化节点 Lido 衍生品脱锚;美国最大加密银行 Celsius陷入流动性危机;再到最近掌握百亿美元加密资产的三箭资本被大规模清算,流动性危机引发多米诺骨牌效应。
除链上DeFi的明牌清算外,BlockFi/贝宝等一众CeFi机构在牛市时的相互无抵押高息拆借无疑加剧了危机;高杠杆/无抵押/不透明的特性一方面将用户的钱至于危险之中;另一方面带来流动性危机乃至资不抵债的严重问题,使行业陷入到信任危机之中。
而就在昨晚,传统金融对冲基金正在做空稳定币USDT,昨晚行情的下跌一部分是因为美股的带动,更多是市场上的恐慌
Tether CTO 确认 USDT 得到 100% 支持
Ardoino 通过强调传统金融用来做空 USDT 的工具和方法来开始这个话题。他表示,尽管努力与监管机构合作并提高透明度,但 Tether 和团队一直被贴上坏人的标签。
Paolo 强调了团队所取得的成就和努力。他继续声称 Tether 得到了 100% 的支持。他强调,Tether 从未赎回失败,并且一直以 1 美元的价格赎回 USDT。
Ardoino 将 Tether 比作银行机构,并表示他的团队处理了超过 70 亿笔赎回,这对银行来说是不可能的。
为了突出其投资组合的稳健性,Ardoino 表示在一个多月内处理了 160 亿笔赎回,占其总储备的 19%。
不得不让人担心USDT会不会暴雷,可以关注一下几个信号,如果同时发生,大概率是要出现问题了, 尤其是兑换比例持续低于1时
1、usdt的借贷利率是否飙升
2、usdt的存量是否持续减少
3、usdt是开始并持续低于1
4、ok开通usdc合约交易对
对此我的看法:
以上问题几乎不可能发生!
我们知道 USDT 资产储备一直有在改善, T-Bill 的占比是最高的(到了 2022Q2 大概率已超过60%),而过去一个多月 USDT 也已经证明了短期间大量赎回的能力。 |
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