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[虚拟币交流]
比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元：分析（转）
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分析师Ali Martinez认为，比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元，然后出现大幅回调。" m4 w- I. G8 e: f7 u
# ~3 n; j, c" B6 {$ _( ]% a9 m比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同，过去几天一直处于持有模式，没有出现重大价格变动。
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自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来，它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整，跌至86682美元，但此后反弹至92600美元。
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在过去的六天里，比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动，价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中，参与者既谨慎又兴奋，预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。8 ^" h- c2 p' W6 q
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与此同时，像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势，以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。: n0 B# I5 m0 i5 Q5 }/ U
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历史表明，比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元
9 Y- l& m8 |) C. S: a, d( N在A更新今天早些时候，Martinez指出，在2016/2017牛市期间，比特币价格飙升了156%，超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点，首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ；/ i+ \' z" E ? n& p. e4 p% x
' |" Q/ A$ `3 v4 D! M7 k k& p同样，他指出，在2020/2021年的周期中，比特币的价值增长了121%，然后经历了32%的回调，抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察，他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ；; _" _3 _. p8 P
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比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发，目标价为15万美元! g& }& B) {2 @$ Z$ J3 K" k
与此同时，在后续帖子中，马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。
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他之前曾指出，在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后，它飙升了26%，然后巩固了一周。整合之后，价格大幅上涨至40000美元。
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8 M3 { u1 e) |/ m( \ m值得注意的是，在目前的情况下，比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%，并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来，在过去的六天里一直在巩固。
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因此，马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话，市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破，目标价约为15万美元。
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牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
" _: J5 p6 Z' `* b: |$ b. y值得注意的是，15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致，在经历约30%的大幅调整之前，比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ；! Z7 ~# @5 o6 b" `) l
2 r0 P) r7 i+ h' v7 j: y如果这种情况发生，如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元，则达到9.6万美元。- X2 {5 n& d) K. `; I
* e# n) E7 I* v" s, e与此同时，Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间，作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。0 J6 j9 S/ C& B/ W& P1 f0 I- D
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