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[947] => 版主推荐
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[lastpost] => 948100 如何判断值得信任的菠菜公司 1706554009 damulong1256
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[版主推荐]
越来越发现，学好概率，在菠菜中占据的重要性是那么大
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不论是玩真人，还是体育
, E: i2 r/ h) g1 w3 s! q比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216种可能，其中的六种就是通杀0 d6 H6 B( s/ P4 P% [; f* a# c9 g& D
那么抽水率就是 6除以216=2.77% 也就是说，要时刻清醒的告诉自己，每下100元，铁定输给庄家两块七毛七: n' X& O+ h3 O5 l: z" A! C
这样的话，结合存送等各种优惠，结合返水，找到适合自己的打法，才能使总优惠的概率超过这个 两块七毛七，那么你就是盈利的+ t. R( k+ w; t2 C" e9 x
4 k- d* O0 T9 t& Q5 u体育也是的，虽然体育有技巧在里面，也有假球在里面，下注的时候也要考虑概率- _' N5 c3 i7 H* c" Y; O$ X' r# K
就拿nba来举例吧，很多人愿意砸盘口，可是盘口的两面水位极其低，尤其的滚球的时候，只有0.83, Z! |, L* d- g
0.83 的意思，就是每下200元抽水17元，竟然高达8.5%，也就是说你每下100元，铁定输给庄家8块5.
0 q$ z) F5 V$ A5 u- C$ n$ l再通俗点说，100除以8.5，你按照100一次的下，下了11.76次，这100元必定输光，这个是铁律# e5 B4 G! ~+ I/ z- S
况且nba盘口上也许有假球，杀大赔小，就莫不如下 单双好了纯玩运气，赔率0.94 抽水3%，虽然没有技术含量但是稳，这个3%比真人高点，但是不假
7 j* c6 }& L% r# H想象着自己懂球，去砸0.83，就不算有假球，抽水也早就被抽没了
) y D, B: |6 |. ~; g3 T) x9 `下注之前多三思，算算概率简单的数学题，对自己保持清醒的头脑，和盈利最大化，很有帮助3 Q# N- S# H$ D8 s. t
% y2 c3 c% u( ]9 u
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! {0 O' I% ?/ z( C" W, b
谢谢哈尼支持，必须理性啊
2 M1 F- }; \8 j: @$ f! c( J9 i: n菠菜没有运气一说，就是概率法则 |
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+ }0 g. U. {( `" o; f你的思路，我一直比较赞同，你的帖子我也在看: x% G* I5 J1 ?! R. m4 ?* W- X
你的下注方式，也是比较科学，有空多交流 |
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荷风送香 发表于 2016-1-30 10:03% U. c/ _5 b6 o& A. }
不论是玩真人，还是体育
% N5 a$ ^& B# J& |3 n比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216 ...
所谓的概率那么都是骗人的，还是要运气的 |
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本帖最后由 荷风送香 于 2016-1-30 10:42 编辑 $ |. ^4 J5 R' J* G
! q" `$ ~; ?/ e5 V4 G0 _
是啊 必须算啊
1 q6 t( S$ u7 q5 a- |) F; H随意想起点 想法，码点字9 X2 S9 x F4 o. p0 S6 P! ]
版主还给加分了，多谢{:4_96:} |
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