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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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* B8 T" D8 b4 f! ^1 v有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。. d9 w; n0 C2 Z( K; i
8 \3 ?* F) I' G- l( K为什么？/ m+ Q% F* u: }3 b/ t; `
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。7 J% a( G' n- G0 v
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
( a0 i3 d/ A, |9 l* t. d3 n 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
" J+ z( D7 M3 e( V* l# p 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4- z2 G' L" p/ w7 M2 z( _: I
第一把输，你没有了。; \4 M3 ~: `3 o) {2 m- F
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
% g( m6 e6 {" ^# B4 y 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
- n# D. y% p1 O4 X; J, X. s5 X% M …………无限下去。$ F& B2 ]' ^6 w5 _" Q0 i
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。9 t; i& J1 I& Q e
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这就是总是输的原因。。) I9 J* V5 H8 ?: O2 }
) `3 z7 p% p! ~; w7 H+ K7 N2 i为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？1 d) s* y( O }/ ?/ n
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。) ^6 ?% S/ F# P- z) L3 `" p$ H
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。8 k8 A0 [2 C5 P x
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。" J3 k3 t9 b! R4 {0 a3 L% K
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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