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冷风说币：BTC依旧不见起色 后面还能否涨上来？2022.06.28
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市场消息
据Tokenview数据显示, 第三大比特币巨鲸过去一周累计增持856枚BTC。截止目前该地址余额为130,227.54枚BTC，价值约27.59亿美元 。
另据Glassnode数据显示，持有至少0.01枚BTC的地址数量达10321013个，创历史新高。
尽管比特币目前已跌至约2万美元，但在经历了近几个交易日的小幅回涨后，加密货币市场的紧张情绪目前似乎有所缓解，消息面上开始出现相对的利好。
一方面，买方意愿增强。从上述最新消息可以看出，不管是比特币巨鲸还是比特币的小虾米，不管是有意或是无意，都在增持比特币，在当下低迷的市场行情里，这个信号值得关注。
另一方面，卖方意愿似乎进一步降低。据coinglass数据显示，近30天有85,646.45枚BTC流出交易所钱包。截至发稿时，交易所合计钱包余额为2,221,453.21枚BTC。比特币和以太坊大量流出交易所，交易所余额创下新低。
无论如何，BTC的地址数量达10321013个，创历史新高，交易所的BTC余额达到2018年以来的最低水平。虽然说目前加密市场总体表现低迷，但买卖双方透露出的交易数据，都是市场看涨的积极信号。
当然，市场看涨有意愿也要有流动性，接下来，我们还是要把目光聚焦在7月美联储加息的议题上，如果美联储7月的加息符合市场预期，比特币仍将会有一波不错的反弹行情，我们且行且观察吧！
行情分析
BTC短线支撑19800-20500美元，短线压力21500-22000美元。大饼的回踩点正好落在20500美元，高点在21500附近，符合冷风预期。冷风昨天就看空大饼以太，认为会有回调，今天看起来也是没有错，理解冷风思路的朋友又是吃了一波大肉，今天的行情并不是很理想，跌下来之后并没有像样的反弹，我们还要维持昨天的震荡偏空思路走，最重要支撑依旧是19800附近。短线操作21000附近也算小压力。昨日美股全线小幅回落，外部环境并不理想。单从盘面上看，大饼走势纠结，有点上下二难的处境，个人认为如果不能尽快放量突破22000的压力，下跌的风险依然较大，重点关注19200-19800美元的支撑。今日操作可以低多高空，高抛低吸为主。
ETH短线支撑1130-1180美元，短线压力1250-1280美元。以太坊的走势略强于大饼，但仍然是跟随大饼波动。以太这波走了个头肩顶，而且貌似已经跌破了，如果跌下去，现在这个点的支撑压力就会转换，操作跟随比特币，也是震荡偏空，大饼到位了一起操作以太即可，获利空间比大饼大一点。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。山寨也可能随着以太走获利回吐，操作多单谨慎。
板块:次新币板块，部分元宇宙板块，部分DEFI。板块活跃度：中。
龙头:APE,people,GMT,MANA,RSR和XTZ
可操作性：中。 来源：金色财经 |
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