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据 CoinShares 称 面对经济衰退 比特币BTC 可能会引发难以置信的反弹
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一位领先的数字资产管理公司认为，美国多云的财务前景可能对比特币 ( BTC ) 有利。
在一系列帖子中，CoinShares解释了经济因素和政府政策决定的汇合如何可能会导致比特币的表现与其他投资资产出现差异，因为经济衰退的现实已经到来。
“虽然我们认为美联储可能会在整个夏季继续加息，但我们也认为此后他们可能会对经济增长采取更疲软的前景，从而导致美元大幅走软。”
该公司预计，如果美联储无法抑制通胀并且美元走强，BTC 将会上涨，并指出增长型股票将在经济状况恶化的情况下遭受更大损失。
“我们认为政策错误极有可能发生，比特币价格可能与增长型股票背道而驰，前者可能受益于鸽派的美联储和疲软的美元，而后者在经济衰退或滞胀时表现不佳。”
CoinShares 还表示，尽管美联储仅在今年四次加息，但 BTC 并未上涨，但加密货币之王可能仍会奖励投资者。
“尽管面对激进的美联储，比特币的价格表现一直疲软，但目前的价格表现中断可能是短暂的。”
最新的见解是在 CoinShares详细讨论经济衰退将如何影响比特币的价格前景两个月后发布的。
当时，该公司还呼吁关注石油价格和最近加密市场的动荡，同时衡量利率上升和美元走强如何影响 BTC 的估值。
“比特币现在与美元有着良好的反相关性。
由于其新兴的价值存储特征，这是有道理的，但它也使其对利率异常敏感。
比特币与黄金的相关性已经下降，而与股票相关时则显着上升，尤其是对利率敏感的股票，例如成长型股票。”
CoinShares 还将比特币称为“一种增长资产和新兴的价值存储”，因此预测与股票的比较相似性会随着时间的推移而减少。
分析得出结论，
“可悲的是，我们认为美国和世界其他地区可能会在 2023 年陷入经济衰退，尽管还有很多未知数。也许滞胀随后会发展为衰退？由于流动性陷阱确实抓住了央行行长，我们相信比特币是面对这种货币政策混乱的一个很好的保险政策。”
来源：金色财经 |
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