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[虚拟币交流]
Polymarket数据显示特朗普在总统竞选中领先贺锦丽近10个百分点（转）
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前总统唐纳德·特朗普目前在2024年总统竞选中领先副总统贺锦丽10个百分点，数据来自Polymarket预测平台。
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这标志着与9月早期的投注赔率相比出现了显著变化，当时哈里斯占据了优势。
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最新的Polymarket数据显示，特朗普赢得11月总统大选的几率为55%，而哈里斯的几率为45%。 " N$ I* [2 D/ k) q& s i$ u
特朗普在关键摇摆州领先这一逆转也延续到了关键摇摆州，特朗普目前在亚利桑那州、乔治亚州、密歇根州和宾夕法尼亚州领先。
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特别是亚利桑那州和乔治亚州显示出特朗普的领先优势最为明显，代表着共和党候选人的重要战场。
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特朗普在民调中的上升，伴随着对即将到来的选举的持续猜测。
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尽管他的势头不断增长，金融分析师吉姆·克莱默却提出了不同的看法，预测贺锦丽将赢得2024年大选。
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“我看不出唐纳德·特朗普怎么会赢，”克莱默在10月11日的一次广播中表示。 6 r: R6 s3 l- S
他的评论在社交媒体上引发了讨论，尤其是在加密货币交易者中，常有人提到“逆克莱默效应”——一种认为克莱默预测的反面往往会发生的信念。 & K: _8 \/ @1 v! ~# V; Q; s
特朗普在Polymarket上的人气上升与他对加密货币行业的公开支持同时发生。 ; X/ @3 V+ [$ W7 d
9月，特朗普在纽约的一次竞选活动中使用比特币购买汉堡，引起了媒体关注，这似乎是为了吸引加密货币选民的举动。
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他的竞选团队最近还推出了World Liberty Financial，一个去中心化金融（DeFi）项目，并拥有自己的原生代币。 + ~2 K& n2 M, c. Z
对于特朗普拥抱加密货币的反应不一。
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记者尼克·卡特警告说，该项目可能对特朗普的竞选构成风险，认为其DeFi结构可能会成为黑客的目标。 2 h2 o4 t6 x5 Z
然而，其他专家如10T Holdings创始人丹·塔皮耶罗则淡化了选举对加密货币价格的影响。 6 r. L3 j7 B! _3 p
塔皮耶罗最近预测，无论谁赢得2024年大选，比特币都有可能涨至10万美元。 |
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