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实际上,区块链的发展方向一直是在尽可能实现去中心化的前提下,不断降本增效。Layer2生态的繁荣使以太坊在保持安全性和去中心化的同时,显著提升了处理能力和效率,推动了应用的多样化,满足更多用户的需求。这完全符合区块链的核心价值观,也是不断优化与发展的必然趋势。 首先,虽然以太坊部分业务转移到Layer2,但绝大多数Layer2仍需依赖Layer1作为数据可用性层。随着Layer2交易的活跃度不断提高,向Layer1回传数据的频率和规模也随之增大,从而导致以太坊GAS的消耗增多。 其次,Layer2网络的增长显著增加了对Layer1桥接和质押的需求。例如,在跨链过程中,资产锁定(智能合约)需要消耗以太坊GAS,同时ETH作为网络中最重要的价值媒介,也被广泛用于跨链主网验证的经济担保。此外,部分桥接协议还会在以太坊上记录交易数据,以确保资产转移的数量和状态符合预期,这也会消耗以太坊GAS。 即便一些Layer2为降低费用,采用Celestia等第三方数据可用层,或为了增加治理代币的使用需求,将Layer2网络的GAS从ETH改为治理代币,但所有交易最终仍需在以太坊主网结算。只要涉及资产和交易安全性的问题,最终都绕不开以太坊。 在Layer2时代,以太坊更多扮演的是去中心化“中央清算银行”的角色,负责生态所有交易的安全性和有效性。随着Layer2生态规模不断增长,以太坊的网络效应将得到前所未有的提升,以太坊担保品和以太坊GAS的需求将爆发性增长。当前币价的低迷仍旧是网络总需求的低迷,只要找到新的应用突破口,一切困难迎刃而解。 尽管Solana、SUI等高性能公链的崛起确实蚕食了ETH部分市场份额,但在POS领域,以太坊依然是无法撼动的霸主,这主要体现在两方面:一、得益于发达的Layer2生态,以太坊在实现扩容的同时,仍保持高度去中心化。相比之下,其他公链基本都是通过牺牲去中心化的方式提升扩容能力,这也导致他们网络的安全性远远达不到以太坊的水平;二、在生态发展上,以太坊的优势仍旧遥遥领先。,Defillama最新数据显示,当前以太坊生态(包含Layer2)的TVL为720亿,稳定币规模为836亿美元。而被视为“以太坊杀手”的Solana生态总TVL仅为70亿美元(MEME币占比超过4成),稳定币规模仅为37亿。几乎是断层式的领先。 对于需求呈现明显周期性的资产,逆周期买卖法往往是最佳的操作策略。具体做法为,在以太坊市盈率(总市值/GAS收入)和市销率(总市值/链上总交易量)达到最高点时买入,在这些比率最低时卖出。因此,以太坊当前网络活动超长时间的低迷,也意味着阶段性买点已经出现。 * D R9 Z+ c/ N0 N$ U6 ~0 Y; V
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