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[虚拟币交流]
比特币长期持有者成为净卖家、比特币已经见顶了吗？（转）
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比特币价格目前波动在 96,572 美元，接近历史性的 100,000 美元门槛。由于机构兴趣和不断增长的采用，近几周来该代币记录了强劲的势头。如果目前的趋势继续下去，比特币可能会突破这一心理关口，达到 99,595 美元的新高。 如果超过 100,000 美元的门槛，下一个目标可能是 120,000 美元。成功攻克 10 万美元大关可能会引发散户和机构投资者更强劲的买盘浪潮。然而，LTH 的获利回吐风险仍然令人担忧，因为任何重大抛售都可能导致暂时调整。 尽管存在短期担忧，但比特币的整体趋势仍然乐观。最近的 NVT Golden Cross 指标显示，达到 100,000 美元的目标仍有可能。只要比特币保持在关键支撑位之上，其长期前景仍然乐观。 虽然 LTH 的抛售活动可能会造成一定的波动，但除非市场出现重大干扰，否则比特币可能会在未来几个月继续其增长趋势。 周末美国机构主力不上班，场内资金开始自己疯狂，成交量榜上老二ETH 和老五XRP 成交量都超过了比特币，这预示着市场出现了一定的FOMO 情绪，同时出现了比较明显的跷跷板效应，即比特币弱，其他强，这是典型的牛市赚钱效应，只要比特币横的住，群魔乱舞就会继续。 目前比较大的问题是，如果12 月继续冲击10 万以上，那么短期见顶的机率将会加大，从场外的情绪来看，外部大量潜在投资者开始对比特币产生好奇，似乎人人都在讨论比特币，以往周期来看，此时往往处于相对高位，不排除后面外部资金进来以后再疯狂的拉升一波，然后见顶。另外一种走势就是从这个位置开始回调，进入12 月先下蹲调整，等1 月份川普上台后重新开启牛市，这样走的话高度将会更高，至于市场怎么选，我们还要进一步观察和确认。 但毋庸置疑的是，无论哪种走势，这位置再去上车比特币的性价比已经较低，山寨币能折腾多久，还得看前排几个大家伙的表现，只要资金接得住，小币还能继续折腾，毕竟大家市值都不高，涨一涨也不过分。还有一个细节要注意，本轮牛市前排的MEME 币近期都开始熄火，龙头板块调整往往会先于其他板块，而后排补涨往往属于一轮升势的末期。后面或许还有拉升，但大家要小心随时到来的风险，别忘了币圈不是不会跌，而是每次下跌都是暴跌，躲过去一次，就代表你比别人能多赚很多钱，不要在意这最后的一两个铜板，更稳健的向前走才是硬道理。
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长期持有的人，主要是赚到的非常可观了，人家是落袋为安吧 |
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