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[lastpost] => 2751286 SpaceX突然挪动价值超1.5亿的比特币，是要抛售？还是只是“打扫钱包”？ 1753633882 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
圣诞节行情，比特币将升至12万美元？有大买家买入明年的看跌期权对冲（转）
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英为财情Investing.com -周一（23日），受美联储鹰派降息影响，比特币 (BitfinexUSD)近期持续回调，日内一度跌超9.4万美元关口。过去的一周比特币累计下跌超过7%，创下去年9月以来的最大周跌幅。 ! C( C( k* g. k% C
流动性提供商Arbelos Markets的交易主管Sean McNulty表示，上周直接投资比特币的美国交易所交易基金（ETF）出现创纪录的资金流出，这将在短期内对比特币价格构成压力。他还指出，上周期权市场出现了「有意义的对冲」，他发现1月、2月和3月的比特币大买家在上周买入了7.5万至8万美元的看跌期权。 本周多个海外市场因圣诞假期休市，与此同时，回溯以往比特币的圣诞行情，多为上升，更有分析师喊出12万美元目标价。 据 Coinglass 数据显示，比特币历史上的 11 次「12 月」行情中，有 6 次收跌和 5 次收升，最大升幅出现在 2020 年 12 月，当时月升幅达 46.92%。最大跌幅发生在 2013 年 12 月，当时月跌幅达 34.81%。在过去 5 年（2019-2023）中，有 4 年均在圣诞节走出牛市行情。 ) x9 N" }- ?- r" h( I
历史上比特币每次于 9 月收升，均能升至年底（10、11、12 月连续收升），而比特币于今年 9 月收升 7.35%，创下了历史上最好的 9 月表现。 Canary Capital首席执行官Steven McClurg认为，到圣诞节比特币可能达到12万美元。他指出「人们对比特币和比特币ETF有很大兴趣」，这可能会助长比特币上升。 Coinstash 联合创始人 Mena Theodorou 在此前的一份报告中表示，比特币的纪录「激发了交易员对山寨币季节持续和潜在圣诞反弹的希望」。
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