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以太坊ETF流入超过比特币ETF的数字 - 这是驱动因素(转)
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与BTC ETF的1.73亿美元相比
. c! ^6 z. C# R3 vCME ETH的巨大机会可能是趋势的关键因素" ~' X5 m6 d: I% ?# g3 |& z) [" j4 Y6 r
在2月的第一周,美国以太坊ETF指出了一些出色的表现,并且与比特币ETF相比,记录了更多的流入。实际上,ETH ETF的流入量为4.2亿美元,而BTC ETF为1.73亿美元。根据SOSO Value和Farside Investors跟踪的数据。
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根据某些人的说法,这种趋势表明,大型玩家跳上了本周早些时候看到的ETH De-Leverrave活动所提供的折扣窗口。
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- m2 s; r: d6 u& T' y. Q( f2 k& U: q相反,由戴维·汉(David Han)和戴维·杜(David Duong)领导的Coinbase分析师澄清说,ETH ETF流动的表现主要是由关注ETH“基础贸易”的机构参与者驱动的。
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CME以太坊基础贸易" n$ f$ J+ z) p9 p. I
CME ETH基础贸易是指机构参与者在现货市场上购买ETH的套利游戏,并在期货方面短路,从而使差异(收益率或基础)袋装出来。这对于ETH和BTC都是常见的。 + m. N4 w1 l' c7 l$ P( n
4 E' ^9 u f& ~: |- Q% j! o$ V但是,分析师汉和杜恩著名的CME ETH基础贸易本周的收益率高于BTC。据他们说,这表明大多数大型球员通过购买现货ETH ETF和缩短CME期货而跳上ETH。他们说,
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: g0 ~! _. L5 _7 _6 k“值得注意的是,与过去一周的CME BTC基础贸易相比,CME ETH基础贸易继续返回更高的年增长率。基础贸易可能是我们看到最近发现ETH ETF的大量流入的另一个原因。”; b- E1 _+ a/ C- T+ W! q7 V; w
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根据所附图表,CME ETH产量飙升至16%,而CME BTC基础基础波动大约为10%。简而言之,与BTC相比,在过去的七个交易日中,ETH贸易提供了更多的风险奖励机会。
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自2024年11月的美国选举以来,支持上述论文的另一个指标是向ETH期货的流入更多的流入。 2025年2月。 : v; C6 J" I" [" L3 `) Y+ L8 i
& Y( H, Z0 s$ _6 l( ^另一方面,CME BTC期货在同一时期记录了停滞的流入。韩和杜恩补充说,
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“ CME BTC期货也没有看到可比的开放利息增加,CME开放兴趣大部分保持不变(2024年11月1日,173K BTC,于2025年2月6日至169K BTC)。”# d! Y6 u. K1 t9 X; t' A4 E
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话虽如此,分析师还指出,ETH的价格可能仍然静音在短期内,索拉纳(Solana)的负面资金率和强烈的竞争。1 A: n: s- v* o: r, Y( l( J2 C
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