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[lastpost] => 2750291 山寨币季来临：以太坊表现优于比特币 24%（转） 1752847244 人生如赌
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。# P. h" l7 O( B- p2 g4 s" r& K; D2 q
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这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。" @. u! r- f$ m# K7 k8 z0 W& W
然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车 r" c1 s7 M5 u2 {
) x! g7 b- C9 R8 D. l和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛8 X }; A* U' Y& g" f9 a2 S8 x
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市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。+ E5 E T. d# ?- b: c2 |* ]! M6 ~
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能' }1 C; q& B& f% J8 V7 I
' N& ~+ i. w" T( u! q" M! C延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。
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; Z V! b2 s7 }# {如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。" s; y$ s) t8 I5 O, S; O
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从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密+ P q" E& A9 ?5 u
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集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目( r1 e1 [& Y6 ^. @% ]( K9 _
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前并无强压。
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