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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份$ U& m4 R* b5 `
$ h5 _0 V( v& {! f$ C \& }4 ?3 D报告中特别强调了这一论断。( N6 v4 C( j% f; c9 H$ X6 \! I" Z: d
美元抛售推高比特币
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" w2 |8 j+ H# pGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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/ J0 y% @4 o( F% m3 V/ E, W“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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# U( Y- q/ \9 R根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。" `6 J8 @, v$ t r; W
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推/ ^8 `$ W! ?6 U x! _/ s
0 M1 K" l3 _/ g' N& H) T1 [高黄金和比特币的价格。2 T0 L. m0 p) b8 W
. o% k) e# X C! k$ I1 v下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化& {' ^8 `( q$ T' i) j
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剂。" h& N% \4 t; F5 |
1 S7 q8 l% g$ T这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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- y; m& X" h# A这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破1 J# [' \7 @2 u, N
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了8.7万美元。/ U, {, O D& B7 Z4 M. Y/ @
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，! q8 I7 M3 N: W C& y+ K
8 H# h* l: j+ V6 v6 k. `0 {' v# Q0 O“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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! a! m- s0 a) Y( O b% e7 G4 N分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。/ |" H+ T# ?$ t* w Z2 ?
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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& ~" H/ {) _) V. e& S* pCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交$ ^6 C/ W, D; R. Y; G9 s
+ V3 k/ Y" A! z/ p$ |7 z$ m6 N5 r
易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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