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本帖最后由 人生如赌 于 2025-4-26 15:47 编辑 8 F: r: Q: N' n5 u
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许多加密投资者是预计成熟的山寨币季节许多Altcoins完全优于比特币。这种情绪是通过不同的前景揭示的，尤其是现在比特币的主导地位升至主要拒绝区。但是，比特币的主导地位讲述了一个不同的故事。7 a( r* l% J; z" q5 C
$ q) I6 N7 J6 b* ~# z! h值得注意的是，比特币的优势已经落后于63.96％的地区，并且接近64.45％的关键区域。根据加密分析师Rekt Capital的说法，高于此水平的接近可能会抑制Altcoin季节的任何希望。4 d6 q+ d, s1 K0 e+ [0 D1 I
9 c% T" v4 R( b5 n5 C, I比特币的优势推向关键的历史阈值
" m/ u. I( ^5 r2 U# u1 g$ I6 F* b即使在价格更正期间，比特币在加密市场上的优势仍在继续愤怒，这突显了4月的大部分价格行动。就目前而言，在公牛拉力赛高峰期间，比特币的优势现在处于2021年的最后水平。它在这里的表现可以确定Altcoin赛季的命运。
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是什么使当前比特币优势很有趣是趋势的一致性和持续时间。在2023年突破了多年的向下渠道之后，比特币的优势一直在升级的清洁趋势中，并得到了强劲的上升趋势线的支持。下面每月BTC优势图中以黑色圆圈为标志的57.68％到59％的面积中的最新重新测试导致了新的[激增]，现在有可能将64％的地区从抵抗力转变为支撑。
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这是在x上的帖子中突出显示，Rekt Capital指出，现在的优势已经处于自2021年初以来未见的最高水平。现在，比特币优势是否设法将4月份超过64％的水平关闭，尤其是如果它会在重新测试中倾斜水平，因为它可能会延迟甚至抑制Altcoin的强度。
& n& N: O0 f' c3 f他解释说，在这种情况下，将加强比特币优势上升趋势，并可能针对接近71％的下一个历史阻力区，这一水平在2019年达到了这一水平。这种比特币优势的扩展自然会以替代山寨币市场份额为代价。简而言之，较长的比特币是占主导地位的，山顶季节的窗口越小。
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短期Altcoin窗口仍然可能0 z/ l5 F. D+ B
Rekt Capital承认简短的Altcoin窗口如果比特币优势开始在64％的地区附近开始波动，仍然可能会出现。但是，他警告说，这样的时期将以高波动性为特征，可能是短暂的。 在撰写本文时，比特币的优势为63.2％，最近24小时的一年高达63.6％。 ) q7 k4 u# {1 f% q! Y/ d3 F
a6 O/ p; z3 Q5 N1 Q6 s在接下来的几天中，每月的决定性都可以决定到5月的更广泛的市场结构。希望进行重大集会的Altcoin持有者可能希望观看此图表任何个人加密设置，因为如果比特币继续占主导地位，则AltCoins可能会很快缩小。+ Z/ L" p% i6 F# ]1 \* q7 @, j- j
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