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[lastpost] => 2759979 币价飞涨,钱却不来:加密风投的募资窘境 1756488490 天策-瑶娥
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当前离线
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天策币:
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总在线: 25 小时
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如今,比特币的价格约为110,200美元,接近自4月以来首次跌破其数月上涨趋势线之前的水平。从124,000美元区域开始,卖家推低了BTC,导致其大幅下跌,突破了看涨通道。现货流入也变为负值,8月26日录得4400万美元的净流出。这表明投资者在近期上涨后变得谨慎。比特币的价格如何?+ b- u1 C# W: v- R [: q9 [3 Q$ J
日线图显示,BTC 已脱离上涨结构,跌破 112,000-113,000 美元的支撑位。目前价格正在测试 109,800-110,500 美元区域,该区域与之前的流动性和需求区域一致。若持续收于 110,000 美元下方,将确认进一步回调至 108,000 美元,而若反弹至 112,000 美元上方,则需恢复短期动能。8 g( _4 P( m' y3 n0 a& N
Smart Money Concepts 的图表突显了近期价格在 112,500 美元以下的波动特征 (CHoCH),价格跌至 109,500 美元附近的不平衡区域。这表明,除非 124,000 美元附近的弱势高点再次受到挑战,否则卖方仍将保持控制。9 j1 r; k. c- S1 w
为什么比特币价格今天下跌?+ `3 j5 X' a& ^
比特币价格今日下跌的原因在于技术面的阻力和动量信号减弱。4小时超级趋势已转为看跌,阻力位位于113,950美元附近。DMI显示看跌信号,-DI领先于+DI,ADX攀升,确认了下行趋势的强劲。 l) y! }4 e/ ]0 r3 k2 a1 `
在较低的时间框架内,RSI 位于 47 左右,反映出在未能收复 50 大关后呈现中性至看跌基调。MACD 柱状图仍处于负值区域,动能仍倾向于卖方。4 小时图上的布林带显示,价格在 109,500 美元附近的下轨附近徘徊,这表明持续的抛售压力。
& o5 Q% K; Y% m. k) v* ^3 G与此同时,Coinglass 现货流入/流出图表显示 8 月 26 日净流出为 -4406 万美元,这表明交易员在此调整阶段将 BTC 从交易所撤出,可能是为了持有或对冲以应对波动。' t" ?& C( \( }5 U6 {4 D0 C
比特币价格:动量指标指向疲软+ v3 P% m8 ^0 U* A4 @. H
EMA 集群(4H 线上的 20/50/100/200)目前构成上方阻力,位于 112,300 美元至 115,300 美元之间。在 BTC 能够收复这些水平之前,上行尝试可能会受到限制。布林带挤压正在进一步向下延伸,预示着下行波动将持续。 p/ b0 o& G) E8 @
日内图(30分钟图)显示,RSI 背离在 109,600 美元附近形成,多头试图通过小幅反转来捍卫这一位置。然而,MACD 仍然疲软,如果成交量没有恢复,反弹可能只是昙花一现。
5 y; A( u/ H1 c9 W- Z4 ]BTC价格预测:短期展望(24小时)& b M1 D- K# w/ ]
除非比特币价格迅速回升至112,000美元,否则8月27日比特币价格前景仍然看跌。当前支撑位在109,500美元,其次是108,000美元的需求阻力位。跌破108,000美元可能会跌至104,500美元,并最终触及100,000美元的心理关口。
0 W5 y6 b" I6 b; \1 ~从好的方面来看,如果BTC回升至112,300美元上方,将有望重新测试115,000美元,并可能重新进入之前的区间。交易者应密切关注109,500美元至110,000美元的区间,因为这是决定BTC能否企稳或延续回调的关键区域。* Z h& d3 \# V3 c7 f" m
比特币价格预测表:2025 年 8 月 27 日
) Y2 V5 b' |1 i/ Y" ~指标/区域
5 d; T, O# `: A& m9 }电平/信号
, @6 c1 q8 W% Y: O1 p+ u, K比特币今日价格; E/ m9 j% {& W% `3 y; V5 C
110,200美元# j" `5 U# u' p1 m) n7 G4 D! I. @2 S
阻力 1
( h. s/ f' T; V7 V" s2 I O112,300美元1 U. D" L: W: P* m* {) A8 Q$ ~2 b
抵抗2
# [9 b( K H$ x' q) h9 g8 A/ O% P& C# o115,000美元! c$ [/ J1 v: D) B. `) g4 l
支持 12 B p3 a- O3 G9 |' [
109,500美元
# E' j/ C3 `& x% P- h* B7 E. j9 h: ^支持 2
+ s, r/ O F: _108,000美元4 z% o8 ]( }' T- v. Z
EMA 集群 (4H)
& d; E( O/ W* ?. u. y! z" J看跌筹码 $112,300–$115,300
9 h0 \ v( x! A0 J) rRSI(30分钟)
; M' [, T3 [$ K5 D46.9(中性看跌). f6 h$ @3 i6 [2 s& Q
MACD(30分钟)
# h+ T6 B, L5 h! V看跌,势头疲弱
- w) m l7 p9 j7 t5 U2 C. E' c* z布林带(4H)( m/ \6 ?. T, V; ]: Y4 z: b/ C
下限接近 109,500 美元" ^1 O$ ~6 g0 D9 S! d8 _4 J# ]9 e
超级趋势(4H)
; A$ J& E4 x# T* a, r低于 113,950 美元,看跌- _/ J. ~- m5 ]+ n& w
现货 Netflow(8 月 26 日)
. ` D2 t& @) A# R- J-4406万美元(资金流出,轻微谨慎)* T8 l1 W) Q$ N# |* _7 @2 ~. K* c! U
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
经验:
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策小分:
总在线: 25 小时
本月在线: 4 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 122 小时
本月在线: 34 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 10217 小时
本月在线: 43 小时
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