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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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比特币，突然大幅上涨，今日一度向上触及90000美元，日内涨超8%。' |4 L s8 S' z
" V7 V' \0 {$ D/ z" _! E3 x' x截至发稿，比特币报89900.1美元，涨幅为7.05%。其他加密数字货币亦全线大涨，以太坊涨超6%，狗狗币涨近6%，“特朗普币”涨超7%。
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9 h* `. i7 a7 W0 c在特朗普竞选美国总统期间，受市场预期影响，比特币价格从2024年11月初的6.5万美元，在不到一个月的时间内，暴涨至超过10万美元，且不断创出历史新高，5 A$ N! r+ O& s' T: O/ C
% U9 z2 v7 m' a& |: h随后出现回调。今年1月底，比特币再次突破10万美元。
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近期比特币走出过山车行情，其2月以来持续大跌，甚至直逼70000美元，后来在3月初又突然大幅上涨。此轮上涨，或与特朗普“大动作”有关。据悉，特朗普将于35 F7 E" J5 W; \* o
6 L2 E- f! O. L) y月7日主持白宫首届加密货币峰会。
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而在此之前，特朗普于3月3日表示，他发布的关于数字资产的行政命令指示总统工作组推进建立加密货币战略储备，其中包括瑞波币（XRP）、索拉纳（SOL）和
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& L5 r! w) J2 l; L: `2 m艾达币（ADA）。随后他补充表示，比特币和以太坊（ETH）将成为该货币储备的核心。
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在特朗普发布上述言论后，加密数字货币市场重现火热。) T% Y; q: L! \6 I9 b# H
4 L3 s( L7 R+ ]% m: p业界认为，比特币价格波动剧烈是市场特性之一。% Y N) |% ]7 u1 i( c# H7 X* H4 X
: \! r1 X5 C s( h有分析称，近期比特币的剧烈波动在很大程度上与市场流动性不足密切相关。市场深度的降低使得价格对于外部消息的反应更为极端，任何政策信号或市场情绪
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, f, e! k; z. R4 O$ U的变化都会被放大，导致短时间内出现剧烈的价格波动。流动性匮乏使得政策消息对市场情绪的影响被显著放大。当有利好的政策预期出现时，投资者情绪亢奋，. e K0 k( ^( k+ ^
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争相涌入市场推高价格；反之，若政策预期落空或出现监管利空，悲观情绪会迅速蔓延，抛压骤增。# I9 K: S9 ?- `4 X
5 W7 v# W' t4 h3 {. `( c4 b( v另据媒体报道，El Salvador总统Nayib Bukele发文表示，该国购买比特币的行为不会停止，反驳外界对其终止的各种预测，此前，国际货币基金组织（IMF）寻求* ^1 D# \3 i7 m9 \4 c- s! F" l
% J( e2 O+ Y h0 g加强对El Salvador公共部门购买比特币的限制，并明确要求“公共部门不得自愿累积比特币”。
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