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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
: P& P$ A7 a3 B r. |自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定$ i) ^' t( c8 z. o
在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。8 s, r8 j$ h2 x4 Z' N" a3 M, i0 O
$ H A% l0 k y: Z总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。
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$ N1 f2 T" }! m* P, k+ N" t8 Z( G. C内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号, @: Y$ v% ]! B9 N! F
目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
" c8 I+ A* t* o0 z0 W$ }
5 e1 t6 z3 L& N) I3 L% G这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。
8 Q" ]6 [8 c$ g* F1 [" g* ~; V. v% N0 l; [3 P" D9 q9 K) m
从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。( N- p: O9 w6 a. i3 R) a# Y! W3 S4 S
- e( y5 o: h4 q' Z. a: ^- n- Q1 E每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。+ \/ ~" }5 i3 z! S: ^, ^$ o9 r
; ]8 G3 P G/ S) @9 O) M4 J" d特朗普价格前景1 J, G( T2 o% D7 n) a
特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
# a; X" u( n7 |, J6 k9 {* X# U+ |7 c4 {9 K. `: R9 [3 n3 D
这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。; V/ S" }' Y) |' D+ J* F
! @- Y* Q* A* O- y/ F G同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。1 f) t% ` ^) e; G) g
h5 |8 a9 X% g H; j( [; U8 X- P交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。
/ S5 B, O' G5 U! q# w2 |/ }1 z8 T# [& D) f! K1 P3 S8 l! v
过去解锁了一个警示性的故事
% B$ x+ D4 D% [. h/ M( E与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。. @8 V4 f% ?( j& l) \+ o' d) @
+ }8 }: k6 }$ [1 }, _ S' [2 o! M, m4 f从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。
: b' h" ^' W/ V( z9 w6 x+ W) W; ~8 C" D/ v5 _
在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。3 a) w+ H* F8 j7 @9 ]" F5 }3 {' r3 _
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