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[lastpost] => 2691052 Bitwise CIO：比特币的“成熟价位”是 50 万美元 1731502020 比推快讯
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交易员称,关键的比特币图表“将在 7 月 15 日之前确认触底”
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这完全是关于两条移动平均线的交叉，以证明 BTC 价格行动是随着下跌而完成的。
一位分析师得出结论，比特币 ( BTC ) 将给出一个明确的信号，即本月将出现宏观底部。
在 7 月 6 日的 Twitter 帖子中，受欢迎的评论员 Wolf 将关键的移动平均线数据视为 BTC 价格走势不会走低的证据。
关键图表交叉被视为结束熊市损失
在反复呼吁 BTC / USD 重新回到自 2020 年第四季度以来未见的水平之际，一个简单的历史趋势现在表明该货币对已经看到了最新的宏观低点。
分析 3 日图表，Wolf 认为 100 日移动平均线 (MA) 穿过 200MA 将充当价格下限信号——就像之前的熊市一样。
他写道：“负 3d MA100 将在 7 月下旬与正 3d MA200 交叉，这将确认底部已经进入。”
具体来说，两个 MA 的交叉将在 7 月 15 日或之前（仅一周的时间）到期，之后应该确认未来的轨迹。如果比特币同时避免重大下跌，17,600 美元将因此成为最新的长期 BTC 价格底部。
尽管有历史先例，但这样的结果仍远未确定。在 7 月 15 日截止日期之前，加密市场将不得不经受一场持续的宏观经济风暴，到目前为止，这已被证明对全面风险资产来说是致命的。
市场参与者对 7 月 13 日特别感兴趣，这一天标志着美国 6 月份消费者价格指数 (CPI) 数据的发布。
正如 Cointelegraph 最近报道的那样，通货膨胀已经处于 40 年高位，而 CPI 数据在整个 2022年都显示出持续的上升趋势。
通胀加速的速度越快，美联储就越有可能做出反应，货币紧缩对风险资产的表现有直接的负面影响。
移动平均线叠加为阻力
与此同时，在 7 月 7 日撰写本文时，BTC/USD 盘旋 20,500 美元，接近接近每周高点。
分析师 Keith Alan 在 7 月 6 日的一篇文章中将其他各种每日、每周和每月 MA 标记为比特币能够维持上涨势头的兴趣区域。
“21 日均线的持续拒绝表明没有足够的看涨情绪来推高，这使下行目标成为关注焦点，”他解释道。
然而，他指出，如果发生阻力/支撑翻转(R/S)，50个月均线将发挥作用，随后是基本的 200 周均线，该均线已形成重点关注前期熊市。
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据显示，截至 7 月 7 日，21 天均线、50 个月均线和 200 周均线分别为 20,300 美元、21,570 美元和 22,560 美元。
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来源：金色财经 |
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