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[lastpost] => 2750524 美国三项加密货币法案通过:美国数字货币应用和需求扩张正式启动（转） 1752964340 九嶷风
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？* a+ R- E- n* K4 E0 b. f" \
7 c7 O( _2 Y; S比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
/ l' t1 f# ]" E7 n
9 l6 t V! i3 z0 O' [随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。3 {5 j9 f/ Y, j# Z! D8 `
; U! ?: Z* `5 i比特币价格分析
" I5 F ?, n- f0 s2 i0 [尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；
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" h/ |) i/ {( K& I o崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。
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' ]9 }2 k4 L! F9 x- _, D然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。9 l# P8 B0 d+ @! @' F4 v' Y$ w
6 K2 x. b( D Q5 b目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。1 x- m* H8 r) B+ I
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预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。
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富达在12月30日引领外流# T$ B) I' G. x4 ~1 Q b; D
随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。 r) p) {/ X9 I6 ~% U* u; e
c. n& O& Q x! q* E6 O# M/ S6 @比特币交易所交易基金
& I7 {& J/ x3 l! T4 D富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。# w4 D; @1 ^! \- D
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BTC价格目标" O2 G( G. f3 {2 `7 w0 X' ~
随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。' Z0 U- H. V6 T1 E; C& [" l
+ c4 l( P7 i" a9 A$ _# V在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。
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5 l' s' f6 x. g2 S在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。4 R7 J" J4 x5 G7 d
7 j1 J' U" Y, C! G" d! G) g分析师点燃2025年的希望5 H: e; z+ q9 A' B
尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。% g& G1 E$ b: W: d" z
& L1 Q2 j: p; H0 Q2 f3 A+ ]Martinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。% c: o; w2 Y: ]' x
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在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。6 R8 N4 l- t- w6 H- V) j
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Alis对比特币RSI的评论6 [. y) Y5 a: ^0 |* ~7 a
结论
! @* ]# I* o& B {7 [比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。
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% h% \* `3 Y3 F9 c( U) @9 H) K然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。9 l* o f; `4 o
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