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[虚拟币交流]
2025-1-11 BTC行情分析：空头双管齐下未能击穿多头防线 周末保持上看96500（转）
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t8 w3 Y$ [7 I+ L 周末老问题，股市休市的情况下市场流动性较差。1 ~4 k7 s8 ^3 x1 l* c" s' A
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/ ~$ J6 b \0 x/ }, a& X" X5 V+ g所以本周周末主旨还是以波段为主，预计难以出现较大破位。# T7 M+ K3 `6 U0 r
2 o! g5 y# Q" a
昨天周五的消息以及数据：5 l4 ~! V. K$ ~: M0 a
1 k" D3 z) ?1 D- D- v3 Z E6 V1、周五非农大幅超出预期导致盘面短期一度造成利空，从而致使晚间盘面下挫。: g" l5 e( ]3 Q( z ~. k
% }, w8 P. M; q4 o2、川普34项指控成立，但因在权利过度重要期间，所以宣告无处理释放。（同昨晚11点利空面）9 ^ \; v+ D$ P1 o0 j' v
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2 h3 ~- w; R2 _即使空头消息频繁，但市场显示一定支撑力度，非农数据以及短期消息不会改变市场走向，市场会在短期遭受冲击后回归正轨。& _) ]/ o* _( ? B, n+ r' V1 }' V
" Y n6 f6 ~' f8 s比特币周末上行预期：9.55-9.65
9 m1 }9 M8 K$ }5 c# _5 j+ X2 z
3 o6 x8 ^* @. Z5 x1 N周末支撑：9.2（利空插针的低点支撑），支撑不破前提下，周末关注9.35附近继续上看反弹。4 K3 c e4 H* _/ z0 v0 H2 U
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- @" d( |' W6 t, W& F" X如果9.2出现突破，周末极限回踩预计顶多二探9.1。
$ y, j; N' t/ U r! M5 F
! d6 Z+ P% @7 P$ m* J, ] B% m5 M以太近期表现差强人意，但如果比特币持续走强后续会有机会带动以太补涨，周末回踩关注3200支撑。
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极限回踩二探预期：3150
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# S7 K+ U- v. H0 o6 t8 V反弹预期：3380-3400
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; E0 i0 G u9 J6 ?4 M* |周五凌晨支撑9.1、3150下破才会代表本轮看涨预期结束。
[& J2 z1 o6 _3 l) n% B8 U2 M- j$ J ]0 W' f5 |# J" W) v" g
同时昨日提及的BCH，在非农冲击中成功站稳435后宣告上行启动。+ z3 A: l/ S, E/ Z4 S, p2 e
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多单完成布局，后续进一步关注480-510一线，若未第一时间完成布局的朋友，后续关注435继续寻求机会。
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