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[lastpost] => 2749378 为什么比特币今天会下跌？分析师认为有3个主要原因！下一波大幅反弹将出现-转 1752948872 爬格子的瘦书生
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以太坊ETF流入超过比特币ETF的数字 - 这是驱动因素（转）
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与BTC ETF的1.73亿美元相比
6 |' ]6 `4 R J& @$ a+ YCME ETH的巨大机会可能是趋势的关键因素/ L1 @' i1 T6 O% o. k" t/ u
在2月的第一周，美国以太坊ETF指出了一些出色的表现，并且与比特币ETF相比，记录了更多的流入。实际上，ETH ETF的流入量为4.2亿美元，而BTC ETF为1.73亿美元。根据SOSO Value和Farside Investors跟踪的数据。
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根据某些人的说法，这种趋势表明，大型玩家跳上了本周早些时候看到的ETH De-Leverrave活动所提供的折扣窗口。
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8 b1 y: l) b0 [& J- o$ j# n) R相反，由戴维·汉（David Han）和戴维·杜（David Duong）领导的Coinbase分析师澄清说，ETH ETF流动的表现主要是由关注ETH“基础贸易”的机构参与者驱动的。
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CME以太坊基础贸易
. @1 X2 o [. A# c- xCME ETH基础贸易是指机构参与者在现货市场上购买ETH的套利游戏，并在期货方面短路，从而使差异（收益率或基础）袋装出来。这对于ETH和BTC都是常见的。
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但是，分析师汉和杜恩著名的CME ETH基础贸易本周的收益率高于BTC。据他们说，这表明大多数大型球员通过购买现货ETH ETF和缩短CME期货而跳上ETH。他们说，
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+ E$ X8 O- B, Q# u! _9 E“值得注意的是，与过去一周的CME BTC基础贸易相比，CME ETH基础贸易继续返回更高的年增长率。基础贸易可能是我们看到最近发现ETH ETF的大量流入的另一个原因。”
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_$ U7 \) X0 }2 }; ^根据所附图表，CME ETH产量飙升至16％，而CME BTC基础基础波动大约为10％。简而言之，与BTC相比，在过去的七个交易日中，ETH贸易提供了更多的风险奖励机会。
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( e6 |% l: O6 W( V' K; t2 ^自2024年11月的美国选举以来，支持上述论文的另一个指标是向ETH期货的流入更多的流入。 2025年2月。 - r( x5 Z( j. O/ M' n
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另一方面，CME BTC期货在同一时期记录了停滞的流入。韩和杜恩补充说，
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“ CME BTC期货也没有看到可比的开放利息增加，CME开放兴趣大部分保持不变（2024年11月1日，173K BTC，于2025年2月6日至169K BTC）。”* v4 f# g! _; T/ k
' k2 o; `- G; s话虽如此，分析师还指出，ETH的价格可能仍然静音在短期内，索拉纳（Solana）的负面资金率和强烈的竞争。
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