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[虚拟币交流] 比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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1#
随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。: L+ f6 O/ R5 b$ O
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。2 `" p" q1 k+ c+ ^
比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。& g" K( l6 A9 A* \- J. m

( _2 Q2 ^6 ]0 W. [接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。! q: ~  i! g; ?
, v( T$ T- _8 ^8 d7 ?
随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
% s- c( E& z7 g; K
" @; a) d7 [# |6 o市场信心[激增]？& i1 e+ I. t, X9 O, C( a0 F
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
- c1 ?7 h+ j2 @
0 ]+ }% f/ `( j8 f: F. h* ]2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
6 h/ E! E. W- b: f2 S( j, K, ]
1 _0 l7 X( p# K% f随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。+ M/ w% D# `7 z
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超级持有者已暂停' ]+ B- @- a7 x7 H7 L* x& |
尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。6 A" |+ q- ?( k# i! r
8 T+ `0 w5 d# r; U' O% g
根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。% m9 p% _/ @5 C
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。% E: I! j: R, Q3 S

8 B0 X5 {( h/ `4 n- `7 O即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。, s, s% e; k! D6 k% y* J9 J

! r1 w+ }4 O1 [8 ]! T尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。
! E! L1 y7 m5 ~& ^
# B6 t, s$ _5 Y" y' \1 t比特币显示出疲软迹象
" R& Q4 S# m9 |, n( S" m  ]  |RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。
' I6 c5 w' q2 ~" m. L
; T' X% u2 q  s+ l8 ]9 k0 N: T此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。' W6 \% U' d1 D# k. y8 K' s

5 q! }, b- |+ Y( g$ q0 a; C尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。) v) Q) t- y& \6 Z

8 G, ]* J5 j# x$ e) E0 a如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。) H5 t3 }- k1 d* c1 `
. O- Q. M* S; [  l* @4 w

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2#
这个会反弹也是很正常的了。

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3#
价格的问题不太好说的啊.

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4#
这个希望还是相当的大的啊。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
现在难道不是新高吗？怎么会这样的问呢

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6#
有可能的啊，还是会有反弹了

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7#
这个会反弹也是不好说的呀。

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8#
再次闪烁的也是有可能会反弹了

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