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[lastpost] => 2782189 比特币跌至 9.3 万美元，引发剧烈波动和“极度恐慌”：接下来会发生什么？（转） 1763387259 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。2 |* B) k' U. w6 a
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
) i; W3 P, _' p: j9 m! N特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。+ s2 p$ Y n' S' u
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。0 F; u2 T' d4 Q! p$ T* F
5 `# n4 p9 S; j8 D进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。; N7 z7 o, }* F( {1 B
6 X4 Z8 O$ q! ^* j( g: C
现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。
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0 ^) z8 i) U7 i! t+ h* Q但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。) a4 V: j4 N& w1 g1 R$ p6 d; Q
* w1 \% C# v2 m$ O, o! ]
D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？/ N+ N. W4 O$ \8 p# C* U, ^
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验9 s: ?8 d, W; S9 X
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。4 A8 ~7 ^9 I7 H6 N/ g
4 c- b% t* _% \2 o* @* O' ^从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。# x' _8 j+ ^" S8 n" D
. ~' n$ h2 ]& s; a" p0 ~! K: S自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。4 i: y6 Q- c; q0 @% I
$ C* W! Q1 P% v; KGlassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。
1 ^5 k% ?7 h! S- i: h1 ?! {" X
7 k- x' [ ?% ?8 m" D按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。
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3 @5 e; I# C0 p% y+ n" I' B' ~+ W不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。* M: g8 @% B% C& G* J- Z
, j5 u3 G8 ]1 ?正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。# D0 w3 I3 X# a1 q* u; q
; v! s% b4 m3 [% b4 w( q x" x
经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
1 O/ ?2 I5 I. K8 u' h+ a受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。% D, r [4 K o% s$ [
- k' j& v4 n' c7 P! j: _8 J a( Q反应如何？迅速而残酷。
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1 A* t- T0 Z6 F' I" R5 s; n短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。# T" `0 ?7 w+ |, d6 m. |
! z- q5 {6 g) Q& L9 W- d( }这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。7 t+ Y" \6 b: p2 h( j( E3 i$ v
: Y" u% x/ Q% x$ V; R' S( p随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。/ B4 g4 h; S8 D! D4 D
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