Array
(
[fid] => 6873
[description] => 天策百科是为服务玩家而建立的专业策略知识百科全书。
[password] =>
[icon] => ab/common_6873_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6873
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6944,6958,555,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,6948,6879,6799,6895,6845,6873
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6873
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,555,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,6903,1121,6815,6799,6974,6934,6895,6845,6765,6873
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6873
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,555,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,6903,1121,6815,6799,6974,6934,6895,6845,6765,6873
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[294] => 游戏平台
[618] => 体育
[619] => 娱乐场
[620] => 乐透彩票
[621] => 电子游艺
[622] => 棋牌游戏
[658] => 实地赌场
[659] => 菠菜名词
[660] => 菠菜界动态
[661] => 菠菜趣闻
[295] => 菠菜公司资料
[624] => 论坛功能相关
[714] => 其它类别
[935] => 菠菜技巧
[936] => 菠菜名人
[937] => 体育明星
[938] => 俱乐部资料
[939] => 赛事资料
[297] => 综合讨论
)
[icons] => Array
(
[294] =>
[618] =>
[619] =>
[620] =>
[621] =>
[622] =>
[658] =>
[659] =>
[660] =>
[661] =>
[295] =>
[624] =>
[714] =>
[935] =>
[936] =>
[937] =>
[938] =>
[939] =>
[297] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[294] =>
[618] =>
[619] =>
[620] =>
[621] =>
[622] =>
[658] =>
[659] =>
[660] =>
[661] =>
[295] =>
[624] =>
[714] =>
[935] =>
[936] =>
[937] =>
[938] =>
[939] =>
[297] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 76 83 84 87 92 33 38 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 76 83 84 87 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 76 83 84 87 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 76 83 84 87 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] => 策略百科
[keywords] => 天策百科,策略知识,经验分享,
[seodescription] => 百科是为服务玩家而建立的专业策略知识百科全书。
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 天策百科
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 2
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 1059
[posts] => 9934
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 131
[oldrank] => 131
[lastpost] => 2435933 天策百科——欧博平台（ALLBET） 1713614098 随风777
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 1
[allowpostspecial] => 5
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 8
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 9020 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 实习版主2 于 2019-7-3 13:59 编辑
0 _9 P" y/ G0 {- s; G+ ?' H; f/ L/ b- c: l
主场优势对菠菜投注有哪些影响？（转）
7 S$ J& P1 Y6 y6 J: { . W& b5 F* T6 C6 e. k0 c
在足球比赛中，球队在主场的成绩往往要比客场或中立场地更好，人们通常把这归结为“主场优势”。统计数据指出，自1888年以来每一个足球联赛赛季，主队得分均比客队多。但因为足球队伍的实力从根本上存在不平衡，某些队伍的主场优势较大，某些较小，所以还是无法得出统一的主场优势让分。 2 c3 O% Z- r4 Z9 N# s/ c! c
既然球队主场得分更多，那影响主场优势的因素又有那些呢？ 9 R, p5 d6 G8 n" n R( I8 {3 Q
首先需要引起注意的便是主场球迷对主场优势的影响。英超赛场上，利物浦的主场安菲尔德球场以良好的球迷氛围闻名，“You'll never walk alone”的歌声更是响彻球场。除了2013/14赛季，利物浦表现出了争冠的实力外，其余赛季也仅仅是为欧联杯资格而战。对于相同规模的俱乐部，利物浦总体表现不佳，不过尽管联赛成绩不佳，但红军的主场优势仍比托特纳姆热刺高。9 r6 S5 E' i1 L! n0 z2 D9 Z8 x) v
2 h7 e6 y) c, l }其次，球队对于球场的熟悉程度也影响到了主场优势。2006/07赛季，阿森纳将主场从海布里球场搬到了酋长球场。在这次“搬家”之前，阿森纳在1997/98赛季崭露头角，在2005/06赛季结束前夺得五个英超冠军。在此期间，他们的平均主场优势是1.51。自从来到酋长球场以来，阿森纳的平均主场优势便跌至1.23。如果对比转场前和转场后的赛季，就能明显发现转场的影响，因为每一个人都要适应新的环境。不过阿森纳近几个赛季的主场优势正在逐渐上升，说明他们现在感觉酋长球场是他们的“主场”。8 ^' P i& F9 l# d
3 \+ J: }' \8 X7 w7 Z
除了上述两点因素之外，对主场优势影响较多的便是裁判因素，通常主队都能从裁判那里得到微小的优待。这种偏爱并非故意为之，而是出于人类情感，因为裁判会吸收现场观众的真实感情，有时无意识地做出偏向于附近喧闹的观众的决策。另外，主队更有可能获得点球机会，尤其是来自没有经验的裁判。因此，建立裁判档案对于预测比赛结果也非常重要。
: G/ D/ g: V9 ?, _- x
! L! d6 v) S' N- e4 ~1 s7 C' a说了这么多主场优势，那主场优势又是如何得出的呢？
. g/ Q% F; N. H- B计算主场优势需将每一赛季的主场进球数减去主场丢球数，然后除以赛季中已踢的主场比赛次数。例如，上赛季夺冠的切尔西，他的主场进球数为36球，丢球数为9球，相减后除以19个主场，所得出的主场优势便是1.42。上赛季排名第3的阿森纳，他的主场进球数为41球，丢球数为14球，主场优势同样为1.42。利物浦上赛季的主场进球数为30球，丢球数为20球，主场优势则为0.52。热刺虽然比利物浦排名靠前，但热刺上赛季的主场进球数为31球，丢球数为24球，主场优势只有0.36。
$ i9 U' K4 b8 u( |
# E8 t: L, D3 i: c# X& N在了解了主场优势的计算方法后，我们便可以运用到每场比赛之中，并且主场优势对于亚盘玩法来说参考价值很大。如果球队的主场让分小于主场优势，下注是一个明智的决定——尽管这只是平衡的菠菜策略中要考虑的因素之一。 : \6 {8 I, @5 L( G r
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
