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[lastpost] => 2758077 以太坊 (ETH) ETP 每周流入量达 29 亿美元,远超比特币(转) 1755571839 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析:看跌趋势线成为焦点,看涨者关注95119美元(转)
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图,比特币(BTC)价格会维持在9万美元以上吗?' Y8 B1 A: v. t P9 J2 P
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比特币价格面临看跌压力,跌破93000美元,在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48,反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。( Z! r# k/ V! ^0 R' b
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随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位,技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险,而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。
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1 C1 X* R0 h$ S比特币价格分析5 U0 ~+ @1 p3 V# Y9 I4 S
尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线,BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章,92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ;
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/ D3 O8 |4 d2 T. x崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平,跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低,BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。
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然而,看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。% H' f$ o/ ], Y6 |& r( O W3 _. G
6 g' l [! F) L: ~目前,比特币的交易价格为92748美元,在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向,表明有可能横向延续。
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预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区,同时努力突破阻力趋势线。+ O0 v6 d7 C( X. q/ O. t' p
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富达在12月30日引领外流0 [9 i8 b) y3 n; L- Q; S8 _" }
随着市场经历回落,对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日,美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。& W5 _5 J( H4 S
% V' x3 f" Y: g- W2 G* h2 R比特币交易所交易基金2 G+ t" o6 P5 v; g% e0 v
富达(Fidelity)领跌,流出1.5464亿美元,其次是灰度(Grayscale),流出1.345亿美元。9 M8 J8 v: n. M5 ^( b, e' E
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BTC价格目标3 h! g+ Q6 B9 e% T/ U3 I/ h
随着新年的临近,越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。
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在这种情况下,BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。
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2 f/ d* w* _7 N' Y另一方面,50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉,预示着潜在的抛售。此外,下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA,这是另一个看跌交叉事件。
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在看跌方面,跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。
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分析师点燃2025年的希望
5 \3 [; f! \0 j尽管有多个卖出信号,独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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7 n3 y4 c! i. ]3 T+ mMartinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性,他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。
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1 y- k, r) L3 U. J$ N" c在之前的牛市高峰期,月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前,月度RSI线位于75,这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。
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Alis对比特币RSI的评论
% T0 X- Y F/ p& t4 @9 v结论
* x( R* A' E' y+ t比特币(BTC)价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎,因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。
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O, m/ g1 e: H8 N; H" ^然而,随着RSI从超卖水平回升,分析师暗示有更大的增长空间,看涨突破仍有可能,目标是95119美元的阻力位。: i+ I% V2 U% G+ q
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