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[lastpost] => 2761878 赵长鹏香港演讲:稳定币是美元全球化利器,RWA面临流动性困境(转) 1756786097 hong29
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨?山寨腰斩,跌到底了!抄底黄金坑,错过再等4年! (转)
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线,均是一碰就弹,过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势,逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的,% r2 b: l# ?8 Y, n& _
但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了,在触底93321后,目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间!" _+ f. g! [# f; k
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在没有大的利空条件下,BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间,这个位置磨的时间越长,后续越难跌下去。所以
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% S5 y Y+ U/ P) H# a% I短期偏向会有一波反弹行情,大家见好就收,不要格局,只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底,耐心等待几天。* z' \. _# I% l5 v
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一段行情就做一段的事情,不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。7 q' U3 ~, n0 Z/ N
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我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好,价格是循环的,跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨,前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的,而不是“牛市”还在,: k4 z1 I, |2 l f1 ^& H
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一定能来,但是自己的仓位被套了50%,翻倍才回本。8 ?2 b9 k6 _& a8 q2 B y$ [
. Q" x# ]) u. P9 j$ `% i7 i8 w, P山寨有正在触底的迹象,很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了,比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE,$ q t5 M- ~& V
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在2月3号那天也从最高点,回调了72%,以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01,从高点回调了49%。SOL在2月9号继续跌破,洗到160.88,回调了45%。还有bgb从最
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* H0 v" C: q( F, Q2 ?7 ^; g高点跌到4.515,也回调了48%。
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2 O" \7 m3 e# f+ k I' _; v目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌,甚至插针跌破8万9,其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面,之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币+ m5 ^5 Q/ u% F% @
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来洗出山寨的恐慌盘,让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌,连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗?真的是
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离了个大谱,那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。2 g+ {4 |! S% }# g
& p0 g" X# G- B/ y总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情,对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年,降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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半年将会看到二级山寨爆发,接下来开始找好标的布局,这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前,选择以下山寨建仓:! Z- M6 l0 X$ E
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股,算溢价率。# k H# V6 g! L5 ]7 j! |3 l/ P
, W/ o' a9 E, ?6 x7 ~2、BTC带着ETH涨,同时ETH的叙事炒作,带着大多数二级山寨涨,因为流动性不够,资金炒作赛道少,所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。
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3、SOL涨带动链上MEME,不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态+ K6 h* D4 T1 c( w3 Z
& q1 h3 x0 }7 I/ _$ K4、平台币,BNB、GT、BGB等等,平台打新、挖矿。! H' D, |3 ?5 x4 a9 y8 b1 n% f
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5、其他美系炒作ETF的,比如LTC、XRP、DOGE% l0 d/ |4 @+ M: u
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