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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753374021 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
Macro Guru Lyn Alden看到比特币在目睹多年熊市之前达到更高的价格（转）
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流行的宏观经济专家林恩·奥尔登（Lyn Alden）认为目前的比特币（BTC）校正类似于2024年3月根据一个键链度量的见证人。9 W; ^8 o2 Q4 E/ B
% s8 o/ r* [* x7 D在对您的生活的新采访中！你的条款！ YouTube频道Alden说，她密切关注比特币市场价值与已实现价值（MVRV）度量标准，这是一个链指标，该指标有助于评估BTC是否通过比较其市场上限（市场价值）与所有货币的平均价格（实现价值）的平均价格（现实价值）（实现价值）。+ x7 h6 x- z3 U0 l' @
+ C7 } {. C2 s1 X5 U! C宏观宗师解释说，在牛市的初始阶段，比特币市值往往会飙升，而随着早期投资者的预期，随着早期投资者坚持自己的硬币的平均成本基础滞后，导致MVRV价值更高。
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奥尔登说，当MVRV飙升至极端水平时，它会驱动更多的长期投资者卸载其持股，这可能标志着多年熊市的开始。
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' Q0 o* O7 ~3 b宏观专家说，该指标仍在其通常的牛市范围内，使她相信BTC仍然可以飙升至更高的高度。
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y$ }9 `& o" H# F! k2 g/ f“当您看到越来越高的价格水平的硬币时，它有助于降低该比率，因为基本上平均成本基础在一定程度上赶上了市值的狂野爆炸。, P. i8 ]6 F, Y) w# q& ~( p
& E2 |+ R& M, j6 K V) A因此，我通常指出的是，我们今年还没有真正看到过极端。早在2024年3月，几年来我们第一次闯入了新的历史新高时，比特币达到了73,000美元。该指标有点欣喜若狂，但没有历史上多年的顶级。因此，我们看到了一个七个月的合并，但没有什么比这更糟糕的了。
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同样，当比特币最近更多地达到108,000美元时，该度量标准有点过高了，但同样，我们通常看到的不是那些多年的脱位。
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对我来说，我更多地关注破坏与崩溃的概率。因此，我的观点是，分手的可能性更高，并且可以说，我认为我们没有为多年的熊市市场准备，直到我们可能达到更高的价格。”% B4 S+ a1 v' z& T' O" E
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