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[lastpost] => 2750445 比特币交易员注意！——为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752906856 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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' S, [8 \: A% s0 `( ]% Q报告中特别强调了这一论断。; ]8 W9 Q3 V8 \- y
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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2 |1 J7 [1 z5 i; |4 E来的最低水平。; n0 v4 R7 \* R, E3 d
6 j% }/ ~5 G& t- {8 n' U3 _“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”/ J! S& ^) G) y1 r6 h2 }
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指$ P1 A2 t; F5 l& C" X w
) {! m- W# m1 \' P数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。( r8 S+ b+ y& n$ U
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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; e: S. v1 H F, i2 Q2 @剂。
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% ?+ k6 M0 q0 j3 c/ V* U5 t* ^这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破8 r7 j! |. b% A6 `
) ]* G0 n- y# c2 c; k$ _! Q: R了8.7万美元。
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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, d: K) e3 l( b5 V3 R3 `5 _' z分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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! t( b) c$ a+ x% R0 P) _“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”" F3 R1 n/ ~) ?* U" y* P( b" C
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交3 d& C0 A' D @) W J
! z. v6 r1 F0 q, y9 W4 `* \$ G& x易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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