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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。! [/ l' m$ ^' Z/ u$ C) h
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
8 ]* ^* ]" s1 B比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。# [' K+ f- }$ g5 D: c+ Y" C
( _1 d6 V2 _/ \6 m1 {接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。$ d& c* v: u/ L7 Z2 O! w0 }
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。/ W+ [, I) ]4 i) E7 U
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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" _! z7 D5 I7 K. {* D9 F( E市场信心[激增]？
' V! M+ }0 D4 T" q, M% K. d J$ }根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
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2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。
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2 M# ]1 o8 T7 P( Q7 ]7 S超级持有者已暂停
" D l6 }$ G# V9 a- U尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。
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' q0 J0 Q0 g* H+ j5 d" x( O3 Z根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。# i6 @/ S2 \- f4 s0 p. m8 \
J- j! Q4 I) e5 V* X相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。% S: @$ y- o3 m4 u' }+ v: Q
5 o; B$ `3 u6 B, }+ G8 M即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。+ B+ k& D, t# ^ ^( N
K) U. _# }4 \8 \# P0 \尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。8 |& `! g: x' [) {
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比特币显示出疲软迹象
5 x5 M% c& x7 g- |3 i; WRSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。' C6 P+ b! E! X% ^
8 K* ?7 F l- h/ Z- f; v此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
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1 \" }% ?4 W8 o- i+ Q' i! u尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。2 L2 y6 m7 X# n$ T3 \% K
# }1 w0 _( N! A$ d. z" d3 W% W7 @如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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