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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格上涨 8%，2025 年 9 月有望创 13 年来最佳水平（转）
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今年 9 月，比特币的比特币
! Z; n3 B/ P+ n* Z. m, J7 i9 e116,543美元
) }, ]% s" P5 I; P, E2 C涨幅超过了 2012 年以来的任何一年，创下了牛市新高。' n( ]* c) j2 Y ]$ H8 x4 Z: b
CoinGlass和BiTBO的历史价格数据证实，比特币 2025 年 9 月的涨幅为 8%，是有史以来第二好的涨幅。) F0 _6 B f; V* R ?. h
比特币上涨 8%，避开“十月”: x s5 r' X( ^' g) I* p1 X/ p
9月传统上是比特币最弱的月份，平均损失约为8%。 l6 `1 \! b( C1 i- I" w$ n0 v
今年，BTC 价格的季节性风险很高，因为历史模式要求下一个牛市高峰，而其他风险资产则屡创历史新高。2 [6 h I+ w- N8 G
虽然黄金和标准普尔 500 指数都处于价格发现阶段，但 BTC/USD 在上个月创下新高后，整个 9 月份一直处于盘整状态。* l( U- _8 k& g, J; P& v
然而，即使“仅”上涨 8%，今年 9 月份的表现也足以使其成为比特币 13 年来最强劲的一年。% F h6 V5 R1 U4 O6 v
比特币多头在一年中的第九个月唯一一次盈利更高是在2012年，当时BTC/USD上涨了约19.8%。去年，涨幅最高达到7.3%。
- `9 h5 g/ @9 }- CBTC价格波动消失
& b! O' C: \0 B" e. i& ^9 [这些数据凸显了比特币牛市巅峰时期极不寻常的一年。
3 ^6 I1 ?& t! w* w% J6 q与以往的牛市不同，BTC 价格波动在 2025 年已经消退，这与长期市场参与者根据先前表现所预期的相反。
* n& T3 F. [" DCoinGlass 数据显示，波动性下降至十多年来未见的水平，从 4 月开始下降尤为剧烈。
- p+ C; ]! {3 y- O- T/ ~. a与此同时，链上分析公司Glassnode强调，在本轮牛市中，BTC 价格从历史高点回落的幅度并不大。4 S! A j5 w6 Z# N* u
这一比例此前曾达到 80%，但截至 2025 年，30% 仍然是最高水平。; P2 ]5 t0 u$ g- T/ K* K1 F+ y
尽管如此，相对缺乏波动性仍反映在牛市表现中，BTC/USD 难以与之前的周期竞争。7 ?/ m R3 W, H: n5 `$ }
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