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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。8 a d+ [( v0 {, }
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。! {+ b: |: j9 h% w; w
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。" `4 J( m2 i4 S* g: T3 s' I
R2 Q @# s0 N) o6 Z V5 a尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。+ V6 y6 Q- M1 s+ l: Q4 v
. }" C& D3 c9 b1 b/ ~0 t长期持有者没有抛售迹象) X8 N2 r) b0 _7 P6 s8 c$ v }$ u
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
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9 d- y Q r4 s! |( Y3 d值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。! X+ \+ J6 E4 z+ L s( y8 ?2 @, F
8 N0 {% w( C! c* E3 z截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。 l3 C; G, q$ C, |& r+ x
' @2 B1 ~0 l8 q- b& n3 g( x这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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6 C5 F. Z7 X- F1 bAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降* }2 d& H- W8 @! H5 s' O
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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/ @6 ~& ~( } r8 G3 H过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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& U1 o: [& B2 O与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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& S( \1 f J! W/ n% @; |8 l此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
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( z) J! I- o y/ I& y问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？* H9 I; t, q3 f4 T( `! _
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
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I1 D4 K% }; K% ?; B, y当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。. a* A3 h9 G2 e. ?4 B
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
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" ]/ K* x/ f, t9 q" q w当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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