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[lastpost] => 2767465 等了快三年，FTX 又要发钱了！这次 16 亿美元要分给谁？ 1758940819 天策-思思
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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策小分:
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。
) ?+ ^3 m' @( n但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000. n; I h9 U; p; s8 L
依旧处于底部箱体阶段！
7 I0 q- Z3 K: h, ]其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！
1 `% C. \1 e! J' t, Z3 s$ E极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、
- S# l; ?: X% I% N. l' p+ o所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！
& B& m. Z$ Z m! y @但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。 " A' P9 n' F0 ]( O
技术面补充、 # |6 \$ y g& R6 A' T
在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、
! S$ @% `; s! ~; q4 I+ l' d1 N一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点，
9 _7 H! c6 @# M3 D. M5 X; c0 Z7 c1 D- E ^而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、
3 g5 o# v3 d" |1 f! L& |- \充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！
/ z1 K% F5 Q% ]: f, T, [也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。
: D& O# L4 _/ a- c! w所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。
- j. B! K0 a4 @+ b+ r: y! J) p那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。 8 E6 e5 y3 f+ j# H' O. Q
短线也可以此为据、
: e2 [% E# g/ O2 f W. q! R（这也是近半月未做短空、） 9 H4 I; ?5 f; k7 B- U; @
消息上、
: s7 M% X) O! ?8 y/ [除bnb调查事件、 + u0 j7 `) l! G+ [! r
近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。 ( q, ], ~$ D7 b9 d4 G# t
紧密形成国际合作。
. x5 w' e" {; M5 ]6 @ i. M6 K整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、
" _) @. n4 E8 I1 F& ~: j a综上、整体来看、 ( \( B, K3 O" r, Q! X
市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。 ! W1 V- w) m( `6 n
但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。 ' F0 A& W& x; }- v; o$ C
且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%） : X0 s8 ~) O6 x" ?+ z4 Q: c; R
那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。
0 \1 R- X% m. H4 N市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
' r+ J& U& G2 ?, ?1 Y0 U& U而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。 2 C: R9 S/ d( q# o6 n
七月、即使同步加息50基点。 ! x7 O" @- B% `2 f
个人认为、市场可承受！
1 K( q! `( |$ e0 E( v同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。 - @: n, ]7 B: y
近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。
* z9 e- U- T& n; b0 C9 r日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜） 8 v' }& a+ d$ J* n F& ~
大饼建议回踩4小时低点
, ^7 b+ E+ O$ `5 F8 L! r+ \29900激进接多 ( B' a0 p% z. P" n# T' r
29650补仓 & I/ X7 S @! g4 {
防守29300
- Z' A0 w! M( u1 f5 i目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000
4 v1 x; h+ {/ e" [以太回踩1768激进接多 0 j6 A7 L- k$ s, z
1745补仓 5 K# F7 {/ {* e
防守1720 6 Y) |! p: n- i) \ L# f
目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900
* D* Z8 C) [$ g( q观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。
8 D1 b/ \1 S9 q( q' \短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。
' Z4 ~3 A: L7 {9 K) X6 V f- e+ o) C& ^看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。 * u/ O" D5 M! \( [: i% }
在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。
9 X6 w; \8 |# E切记注意长线进场时机。 ( g$ g% `) ?7 s; {* f9 h
来源：金色财经 |
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