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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测(转)
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元,专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
; V- T- ]& n& F1 f6 z( @美元抛售推高比特币
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( u' p3 v! l/ f1 OGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上,Dragosch补充说,美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以+ t$ m ^5 I5 w2 S
# m+ p$ ], L* a/ b来的最低水平。
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6 ~$ W* b) U1 @/ [“看起来,比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”+ n$ [+ x" B8 K5 F3 A: |
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根据附图,比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此,在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下,美元指3 s: M, c. U" R. | g( p/ n
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数走弱(从100美元跌至97美元),从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道,特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”,而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道,这将推
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* F1 d0 z1 u* F+ u/ t% g) M* k高黄金和比特币的价格。9 F. J3 u! X* z- ]" o
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布,多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。2 f* e1 f) g) S& R
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这里值得指出的是,黄金价格在周一再创历史新高(ATH),这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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# N0 G( ~0 v. A这意味着,在关税不确定性的背景下,投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币(BTC)作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破) N6 Q3 A- t2 a) v6 a( z
' \7 g1 X# k9 ?$ Q7 L8 p2 L了8.7万美元。
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然而,BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的,需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称,
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“突破不错,但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何,你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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; [4 s4 l% R- U! N. o4 W4 ^" F分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示,比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元,创造并确认更高的高点,并确认下行趋势的结束。”- T5 X' P* ^' t4 a; O4 P! K- b
- M7 h ~) e5 m: \* B jCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景,指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调,而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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