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[947] => 版主推荐
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[lastpost] => 948100 如何判断值得信任的菠菜公司 1706554009 damulong1256
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[版主推荐]
越来越发现，学好概率，在菠菜中占据的重要性是那么大
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不论是玩真人，还是体育* w7 }* A5 t6 t- }* G7 `( m |( W
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216种可能，其中的六种就是通杀; w) H. Y! s* Y7 H3 Z7 S( Q- d
那么抽水率就是 6除以216=2.77% 也就是说，要时刻清醒的告诉自己，每下100元，铁定输给庄家两块七毛七4 [- d4 Q3 k! x2 l; Q5 F$ Z
这样的话，结合存送等各种优惠，结合返水，找到适合自己的打法，才能使总优惠的概率超过这个 两块七毛七，那么你就是盈利的
5 O' x! ~6 ~& e: F/ ~' o
3 Q: A# {+ m' W0 Z' }6 O! k# f) j, S体育也是的，虽然体育有技巧在里面，也有假球在里面，下注的时候也要考虑概率5 C+ j2 M5 C' ~. ?8 y3 J4 {
就拿nba来举例吧，很多人愿意砸盘口，可是盘口的两面水位极其低，尤其的滚球的时候，只有0.83) f% J1 w, N$ ~' d- X m- ?2 Y# z/ t
0.83 的意思，就是每下200元抽水17元，竟然高达8.5%，也就是说你每下100元，铁定输给庄家8块5.7 k7 }! X: q: N+ \6 _" r6 F$ L/ `
再通俗点说，100除以8.5，你按照100一次的下，下了11.76次，这100元必定输光，这个是铁律8 {+ u' A: q* a$ D, e, Y
况且nba盘口上也许有假球，杀大赔小，就莫不如下 单双好了纯玩运气，赔率0.94 抽水3%，虽然没有技术含量但是稳，这个3%比真人高点，但是不假' w5 B" N8 Y% p# @
想象着自己懂球，去砸0.83，就不算有假球，抽水也早就被抽没了
# I+ ~# R2 S1 T9 k下注之前多三思，算算概率简单的数学题，对自己保持清醒的头脑，和盈利最大化，很有帮助5 @/ S1 Y. g0 e* S! K
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: P" F/ {: |& N# j谢谢哈尼支持，必须理性啊% }" R7 F+ N) o9 b* ]% R
菠菜没有运气一说，就是概率法则 |
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+ K, c+ h2 G/ A* A5 b- ]7 |* v你的思路，我一直比较赞同，你的帖子我也在看. P- d1 [+ n4 T/ F& _# S( ~3 F) m5 P
你的下注方式，也是比较科学，有空多交流 |
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荷风送香 发表于 2016-1-30 10:03, N+ a2 p8 _+ L
不论是玩真人，还是体育2 t8 O5 P( {! p- S5 ?7 D+ B
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216 ...
8 ~2 u9 d4 ]: l! O f所谓的概率那么都是骗人的，还是要运气的 |
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本帖最后由 荷风送香 于 2016-1-30 10:42 编辑
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4 v; u6 C% h+ f+ W2 N是啊 必须算啊
& c o: [2 s, m随意想起点 想法，码点字
% t0 p* ^/ E7 w( V) |版主还给加分了，多谢{:4_96:} |
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