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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753374021 天策-瑶娥
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一周热点回顾总结【只关注与交易相关】： Z" P; c" |2 R% ~3 W5 a- ?) V M" V
1、OP上线，以太坊L2网络Optimism锁仓量超10亿美元，排在Arbitrum后面【关注Arbitrum也有可能获得空投】； 6 {* ]( j% R* p# k' k2 c+ I" I
2、USDT场外价格持续缩水，迹象表明有资金在不断的离场；
1 C& o N( z# n" h3 j: ?; k3 H3、链上数据，以太出货量远大于BTC，行情波动较大；
' M$ K, ]/ j5 o7 V; T& C4、非农公布后美联储6月份加息50个基点的概率为99.3%，预计到12月欧洲央行加息幅度将超过125个基点； ' G7 n: k& }/ O; P3 f, ]4 W
5、数字货币与美股联动关系，交易需密切关注美股走势； + ^* k6 }9 _( A% Q
6、GMT：STEPN官方费用地址转出3100万美元，持续进行变现之旅； $ h" o% U# E6 `: q l
7、WAVES链上总锁仓量近17亿美金，增幅度较大 。 : U0 |$ c' I {9 G& c& [4 j
一周链上数据明示： O: @" X* a7 f4 j
下图为一周内涨跌幅： $ U% B4 e1 _8 V
+ z5 x; h4 ^6 X. Z7 k3 h1、WAVES，俄罗斯的波币表现突出。【思考：除了消息面和底层发展逻辑，在K线动向是否可以明示行情走势？】；第二名是：ADA,大家有目共睹，此项目属于优质的投资标的，可作为持续跟踪的交易品周。【思考：投资逻辑里面，看空不做空的投资标的筛选，优质的资本币只考虑做多的单边思维】
; F$ F" R8 u+ D1 }2、表现不错的主流标的：AAVE、AXS、XLM、ICP 【LUNA，只需考虑做空对冲】； 6 `, n7 H8 {* _. r3 M
下图为以太坊链上净流入交易所数量视图： z- h3 U$ I7 W9 O
5月22-6月2日一周时间，ETH净流入交易所296360枚。【思考：大家把币从钱包转到交易所是为什么？是屯币生息吗？】一周的拉高单纯目的就是为了出货。以太的升级转型延期，导致资金撤离外流。 ) Q; H! h: k$ k+ c1 v( ?$ H# r0 X
) i) H& a, B1 b7 k, s下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：
+ T$ P- H5 s" \7 W8 F下图为BTC链上净流入交易所数量视图：5月22-6月2日一周时间，BTC净流入交易所5447.84枚。其中高位32000--30650区间出货最大。6月3日在29530附近吸筹建仓2732枚BTC。 6 Q" y6 f* c5 m7 w8 c
下图为ETH/BTC交易视图：
" z% v' i( t0 A" z8 I4 r自从5月11日开始，天平开始了倾斜，以太的转型拖延导致了以太大饼的强弱区分。【内部学习会和大家甄别这里的奥秘】 H; B& J! w# o0 ^' f
( B: X" r" {; _0 ^9 M链上数据汇总：盘口来到了月线级别的调整，519的底部调整从超跌——超跌反弹——震仓——二次测试——终极震仓背离走了大约75天时间；本次为月线级别，每个时间级别的走完需要的时间周期可想而知，从链上数据看来，机构尚未开始集中式建仓，说明目前的市场还不是大鳄的心理价位。等待——右侧是最佳的机会。
( y7 G9 g* S; q* e) s+ x4 v大盘行情简览：
% N) n" L8 b: O目前大盘处在日线级别的调整周期，每个次级别大概率要形成不同的超跌反弹的走底形态。建议逢高做空、走底做多，现货不急。熊市交易快进快出，不恋战不贪不急不躁。
1 y& T1 q q2 ^+ U
6 n' F1 E/ D U) `9 w4 f! i. C4 x" O周末行情震荡为主【今日不做操盘建议】
! l( {$ q p e7 a: o$ {' u2 [祝大家节日安好！周末祥和！ 来源：金色财经 |
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