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[虚拟币交流]
比特币：分析师预测将升至7.5万至8万美元：原因如下（转）
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比特币[BTC]价格图表显示，市场结构可能发生转变，预示着价格可能突破3月份开始的5万至7.2万美元的区间 ；0 C* t& v6 R8 z7 z9 N" t. p$ B" |4 ?/ P
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据分析师称股票钱蜥蜴，区间突破可能会在两周内发生。如果是这样的话，分析师预测，如果最近跌破6万美元被辩护为“更高的低点”，比特币可能会达到7.5万至8万美元7 E$ u3 _8 p6 _$ c" u3 S& U
; O. j6 U7 c' S7 B0 J7 g9 K9 W5 P“如果这一更高的低点得到证实，我们将在2周内突破这一上限阻力。下一个目标是7.5万至8万美元。”
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o# d% D* H4 U就背景而言，自8月以来，BTC一直在创下更高的低点，这一价格走势预示着潜在的市场结构转变，特别是如果出现更高的高点 ；5 D# b. S p* \- O) n
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需求上升与风险6 O# H! l" M& }. E$ O5 V3 O% Y
投资者对全球最大数字资产的兴趣也有所改善，这表明与第二季度/第三季度相比，第四季度的需求复苏缓慢但稳定。
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从长远来看，自5月以来，BTC的需求一直是负的，卖出超过了买入。然而，CryptoQuant指出，不平衡的步伐已经放缓 ；0 ?9 _- j# B B. i% P
: X9 F7 l+ w2 M3 f; g; z事实上，过去30个交易日对BTC的明显需求表明，投资者需求达到了5月份的水平。! ^: R( u5 T9 }: Y! e
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在9月底至10月中旬期间，约有15万BTC被投资者抢购，价值约94亿美元 ；! Q2 Z& e/ ^5 c
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因此，如果这种模式在未来两周内持续下去，不断增长的需求可能会支持Stockmoney Lizards的突破预测 ；; o+ \4 t3 S7 D4 J9 q
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但杠杆率的上升，如未平仓合约（OI）的上升，也给突破预期带来了迫在眉睫的陷阱 ；
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1 M+ j! ]/ F6 W7 a对于不熟悉的人来说，杠杆率上升意味着投机者通过借钱在期货市场开立BTC头寸来承担更多风险。
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根据Glassnode，最近一个周末从58.9万美元上涨到63.4万美元，一些卖空者（OI为25亿美元）纷纷抛售 ；
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然而，该分析公司还指出，OI的跌幅没有超过5%，这一水平在历史上总是会出现BTC的长期反弹。
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! D$ w5 Z# h' t+ s" i7 y" C1 M简而言之，价格方向两侧的波动性和清算风险加剧可能会破坏突破预期 ；
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# t# e7 x! ^4 ]3 I4 t& @9 i与此同时，BTC的价值为62.8万美元，并在发稿时跌破200天移动平均线（MA）1 N2 M+ N0 i+ d8 x; n7 X6 _
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