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[虚拟币交流]
比特币分析：看跌趋势线成为焦点，看涨者关注95119美元（转）
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随着阻力趋势线主导价格走势图，比特币（BTC）价格会维持在9万美元以上吗？7 }. M8 v f- U! r* m
1 _6 @% n" Z0 n# R# P1 _4 E' o: i比特币价格面临看跌压力，跌破93000美元，在过去24小时内下跌1.12%。CMC恐惧与贪婪指数已降至48，反映出投资者日益增长的不确定性。
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7 c/ G" W; m' a' |" _/ d7 n' E随着BTC努力突破关键阻力位，技术指标表明存在潜在的下行风险，而分析师对牛市反弹的可能性仍存在分歧。6 }. I ` F+ g3 D( G9 m( }1 E
5 P3 }2 S3 }9 I, Y) N比特币价格分析
- Z, I7 a! k4 |+ C尊重4小时图中的长期阻力趋势线，BTC价格继续呈看跌趋势。正如我们的预期最后一篇文章，92750美元的关键支撑位未能吸收即将到来的供应 ；3 w ?* P1 d- y @: _
$ S3 G5 D3 `+ p% X! \
崩溃反弹几乎达到了预期的90000美元水平，跌至91315美元的低点。随着价格拒绝率的降低，BTC价格从90742美元的估计目标提前逆转。3 }3 D, i4 i3 e3 B: y8 r
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然而，看涨反弹至92748美元未能超过20-EMA线和阻力趋势线。这导致价格迅速回落至93000美元以下。: @$ O' n9 V+ t& M$ s5 A
2 _( N, H. X; n4 p目前，比特币的交易价格为92748美元，在过去4小时内小幅回升0.43%。4小时RSI线显示从超卖区域快速转向，表明有可能横向延续。
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6 P" {+ v" k! I h( j0 T预计盘整区间将尊重90742美元的支撑区，同时努力突破阻力趋势线。3 `7 w; b( w: \/ K/ C4 N0 o6 x9 Z. x
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富达在12月30日引领外流
j; h$ N" N. r% @: T+ t) t0 Y% g随着市场经历回落，对比特币的机构支持下降。12月30日，美国现货比特币ETF的每日净流入总额为4.2613亿美元。
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$ N8 t+ N3 ~1 a! i+ D [3 [+ g比特币交易所交易基金0 V; Y! E- ?( g0 k4 K& |
富达（Fidelity）领跌，流出1.5464亿美元，其次是灰度（Grayscale），流出1.345亿美元。% } T; j* ~$ Q' J
% ~2 [, a; Z6 @" }% Z# C2 G3 x! nBTC价格目标
" w' _. H7 s! [! }, ~随着新年的临近，越来越多的看涨预期可能会推动比特币突破阻力趋势线。
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在这种情况下，BTC价格可能会达到95119美元的即时阻力位。这非常接近50-EMA的动态平均线。- ^! f5 @1 L" [% d3 D
: h5 _2 V$ Y3 A& D" E/ Y6 c另一方面，50-EMA与200-EMA形成了死亡交叉，预示着潜在的抛售。此外，下跌的100-EMA正在接近200-EMA，这是另一个看跌交叉事件。7 S) Y1 d. W' p) E7 v
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在看跌方面，跌破90742美元将为下一个支撑位86707美元打开大门。. i" G4 h0 n* I1 o. {6 L/ e
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分析师点燃2025年的希望! v) z- B9 }2 ?; f, L3 y
尽管有多个卖出信号，独立分析师阿里·马丁内斯突出显示比特币的巨大增长潜力。
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$ \$ E# j3 j2 R4 P' [2 b% ?, EMartinez发现之前市场峰值的月度RSI与比特币流动性指数之间存在相关性，他预计比特币价格趋势将继续看涨。' e* `( F. Z; j4 E; p
}, V6 W$ v4 u7 r在之前的牛市高峰期，月度RSI在下一个熊市开始前达到92。目前，月度RSI线位于75，这表明正在进行的牛市比空头预期的有更多的燃料。
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! M9 c2 O' ]- a% a3 E4 tAlis对比特币RSI的评论5 v X6 _: f3 @) E! H0 Y0 m/ \
结论
# D: k8 Q% Z/ l U比特币（BTC）价格趋势在看跌压力下挣扎，因为死亡交叉和EMA下降等技术指标预示着持续的下跌趋势。; f3 s" \" u# w7 [
1 y- V& U4 a+ Q2 n& G然而，随着RSI从超卖水平回升，分析师暗示有更大的增长空间，看涨突破仍有可能，目标是95119美元的阻力位。: m5 z2 j8 t$ [0 R: z) W3 H1 [
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