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[lastpost] => 2749886 链上指标：比特币能否突破13万美元大关？（转） 1752744094 小希哥
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- 比特币低于短期持有人的成本基础（155天以下）。
- 来自ETF的大量流出促成了最近秋天的贡献，并且下降趋势可能会继续下去。
( b* c" _+ o6 \, c4 F! s/ g
这[url=]比特币[BTC][/url]恐惧和贪婪的索引显示26读，这仍然是[url=]可怕[/url]。它在前一天的20读中有所改善，这表示极端恐惧。 这种情绪来自[url=]BTC的[/url]过去九天下降了13.8％。 分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒（Axel Adler）在一篇关于加密素养的文章中指出，由于最近的价格下跌，短期持有人（STH）造成了适度的损失。 平均而言，它们的成本基础低6.4％，根据CQ数据的价格约为90.5k美元。 比特币接下来在哪里？阿德勒（Adler）观察到，遭受适度损失的STH可能会使市场进入合并和积累时期。 但是，这将需要稳定的需求和宏观经济情绪的转变，这仍然是恐惧和不确定的。 在过去的十天中，美国的ETF流量显示出大量流出。这是比特币在过去一周面临的损失背后的主要原因之一。 数据显示，在2月28日，流入价值94.3美元。这是2月25日的11.4亿美元流出量相形见war。 情绪仍然是看跌，可能需要一段时间才能控制市场。同时，可能会有进一步的损失，必须准备交易者和投资者。 根据定义，MVRV比率是市场价值除以实现价值。 STH意味着它专注于持有BTC不到155天的持有人。 低于1 MVRV的下降意味着持有人失去了损失，正如之前强调的那样。 在上一个周期中，在BTC减半之后，直到2021年5月中旬，价格才降至STH成本基础。 它低于MVRV比率的1个标准偏差，并一直呆在那里，直到7月恢复。 可能再次发生类似的情况。在接下来的几周内，比特币可能会看到更多的损失和趋势，并且可能在恢复前几个月内巩固了65k- $ 70k的地区。
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