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[lastpost] => 2749629 关税、就业、降息预期极限拉扯，BTC劲升9.08%，创历史新高（07.07~07.13）（转） 1752668153 mattf
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比特币必须突破8.9万！分析师关键信号：未能确认底部恐引发新一轮暴跌
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周四，比特币反弹至83000美元附近后喘息，多头加密货币分析师Matthew Hyland表示，比特币必须确保本周收盘价高于89000美元才能确认底部已经过去，' u" Q0 b! S) n" J, g4 V5 H/ z) v
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否则可能引发新一轮暴跌。: D0 x: ^$ u+ P; S5 ]1 S: @1 r! o
0 ?, N( y, l/ @! l' aHyland认为89000美元水平至关重要，根据CoinGlass数据显示，比特币跌破89000美元将清算约16亿美元的空头仓位。$ s) W6 B5 D, t, j
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他警告称，如果比特币未能收于该水平之上，其价格可能跌至74000美元至69000美元之间，这是比特币自2024年11月以来从未达到的水平。
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他说：“在未来几周或几个月内，比特币可能会在某个支撑位测试这一下限。”% ^8 p% k- {, H* d2 A, D+ o
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“如果我们的周收盘价确实高于这一区域，我认为比特币的低点已经到来，我们不会跌到这个区域，”他说。2 U v* d# z0 f! y; }
4 R% ]( g; y) i2 [ t6 `Hyland也强调，当比特币突破阻力位时，通常会导致进一步上涨。& A- R" i# `% h1 f8 b V
4 V6 W# J1 K7 F& O1 x( i5 m然而，由于宏观经济因素，美国对比特币的需求近期一直在下降。
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CryptoQuant表示，上周比特币的需求与前一周相比下降103000枚比特币，这是自2024年7月以来最快的收缩速度。
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该机构解释说，美国比特币需求近期下降是由于美国通胀率的不确定性，以及美国总统特朗普于2月1日征收的关税。
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' [9 S) Y& x& x( F# }! ]3月7日，美联储主席鲍威尔重申不急于调整利率。* B+ s2 G$ b" E" R
* r1 w2 V) o7 \% ~* c3 f1 P华人分析师Phyrex Ni表示，相隔四个工作日后，比特币的未平合约仍然没有大幅上升的迹象，说明现在的投资者还是处于迷茫的阶段，对多空并没有完全的把握。: [% h. r) ?" L2 P- e; m) H
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他指出，尽管比特币最近一段时间价格的表现并不是很好，但是93000至98000美元 之间的密集筹码区仍然没有出现崩溃的问题，这部分的投资者离场已经越来越少。, E3 I! g( H! ~/ u
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“尽管可能在重新回到95000美元的时候会有一些压力，但在这之前对于价格的影响仍然是超短期投资者为主，从换手的数据中也能看出。”; B/ D( m- ~0 \2 G7 _! }
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