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[lastpost] => 2749907 链上指标：比特币能否突破13万美元大关？（转） 1752750406 hong29
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随着Coinbase溢价重现，且美联储和[url=]特朗普[/url]总统的积极言论增强了交易员的信心，比特币价格稳定在8.5万美元附近。 比特币（BTC）价格在纽约交易时段的凌晨时段涨至日内高点8.7453万美元，但在美国总统特朗普在纽约数字资产峰会上发表视频讲话后不久，便迅速回吐涨幅，降至8.3655万美元。 在特朗普发表视频讲话之前，X平台上流传着一些传言，称特朗普总统将宣布对某些加密货币免征资本利得税，或者发布一份关于美国战略性比特币储备的利好声明。 令一些交易员失望的是，这两个传言都没有成真。特朗普只是再次强调了他不会出售ZF没收的比特币的承诺，并且呼吁国会尽快制定明确的稳定币立法。 特朗普总统最积极的表态是他重申了要让美国在所有加密货币领域占据领先地位的目标。 “我们将共同让美国成为无可争议的比特币超级大国，以及全球加密货币之都。” 正如加密货币市场常见的情况一样，交易员显然轻信了特朗普会发布某种支持比特币的行政命令声明的传言，而一旦事实显然并非如此，他们就根据这一消息抛售比特币。 特许市场技术分析师Aksel Kibar在X平台上发帖称，比特币价格仍有可能回调至7.37万美元。 Kibar表示：“比特币/美元的长期走势图显示，看起来仍有可能回调至已突破的7.37万美元[url=]价位[/url]。接下来的走势将决定未来几个月的价格走势。” 比特币近期的上涨并非完全归因于对特朗普今日声明的期待。3月19日，比特币对联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议纪要的发布以及美联储主席Jerome Powell确认美联储的量化紧缩政策将放缓，且2025年仍有可能进行两次降息的消息做出了积极回应。 BitMEX联合创始人Arthur Hayes对他所认为的美联储承认量化紧缩政策基本上将于4月1日结束一事表示庆贺，但他警告称，尽管7.7万美元可能是比特币的价格底部，但意外的波动可能会给股票和比特币带来更多下行压力。 Hayes表示：“JAYPOW做到了，量化紧缩政策基本上在4月1日结束。我们接下来真正需要为之兴奋的事情，要么是获得补充[url=]杠杆[/url]率（SLR）豁免，要么是重启量化宽松政策（[url=]QE[/url]）。7.7万美元是不是比特币的底部呢，有可能。但股票可能还会经历更多痛苦，才能让Jay完全站到特朗普阵营这边，所以要保持灵活，手头持有[url=]现金[/url]。” 据Cointelegraph报道，比特币近期的价格走势在很大程度上是由期货市场的交易活动推动的，但比特币在Coinbase平台上溢价的再次出现，可能是现货市场需求正在回归的一个迹象。
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