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[虚拟币交流]
比特币突破83,000美元 滞胀担忧推动资金涌入抗通胀资产(转）
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比特币（BTC）突破83,000美元，本周上涨超过5%，随着滞胀担忧加剧，投资者纷纷转向被视为抗通胀的资产。 此次上涨发生在特朗普总统宣布将天朝进口关税提高145%之后——这一激进政策转变重新点燃了关于供应链中断、消费者价格上涨和增长放缓的担忧。 此外，密歇根大学的消费者信心指数在4月跌至54.0，较上月的57.0下降，创下近六个月以来的最低值。 核心CPI同比略微下降至2.8%，尽管经济放缓，价格依然保持粘性。 7 y: D) A# A. {1 w V# y
与此同时，摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙在其最新的股东信中警告称，目前的贸易紧张局势可能进一步推高通胀，并增加经济衰退的概率。
* g! n8 n5 l! M9 y" }3 ]9 i% g# \
- O7 B3 w/ ^% ^- z' w8 v为什么投资者转向比特币？在这个高波动、低确定性的环境中，比特币再次成为现代对冲工具——与黄金并列。投资者将资本从股票转移到具有硬性上限和去中心化结构的资产中。 比特币的有限供应和独立于传统货币政策的特点，使其在经济动荡时期具有吸引力。 随着美联储面临政策宽松的呼声，期货市场预计降息，比特币作为“数字黄金”的角色正在重新获得力量。. 显著地，Bollinger Bands的发明者John Bollinger最近在比特币的周线图上指出了一个潜在的看涨“W”形态——这通常是较大趋势反转的前兆。相对强弱指数（RSI）仍低于超买区间，表明有进一步上涨的空间。 g: f. p1 `# S$ \9 x# }
" ]# Y& j) x3 i$ U* v" FBTC/USD技术展望：瞄准86K及更高价格
( L7 E7 C4 {3 ?2 D- k; X比特币目前正在测试关键阻力位83,600美元，这是多周对称三角形的顶部。若突破这一水平，价格可能会向以下区域推进： 7 Q f0 T5 a0 ~* r- Q+ a a
- 支撑位：$81,200 和 $78,500
- 阻力目标：$86,400 和 $88,600
- RSI：60 — 仍低于超买水平
- 50日指数移动平均（EMA）：$81,200 — 目前作为动态支撑
5 h4 i' V$ i0 k: Q+ n; |! i+ ?: Z" E
若突破顺利，并且理想情况下伴随成交量，可能会确认看涨走势的延续，未来几周内，$90,000的里程碑有望触及。 * R) y+ \ `$ ]% K+ C, _
. ~5 G+ i8 G0 T$ x; |7 e, Z" ^* X+ G
结论在特朗普的激进关税政策、经济放缓迹象和持续的通胀压力下，投资者将资金转向比特币以应对滞胀风险。宏观经济因素和技术信号都显示，比特币可能会再次迎来强劲的上涨。比特币的韧性再次成为焦点。 # M$ A$ `# E- n% O6 ]% h2 T
) ~ w% ?5 P1 J7 w$ i0 S4 ^9 |" x: I- v0 Q v
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