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[lastpost] => 2768636 “数字金”与“实物金”携手狂飙? 德银重磅预言：比特币与黄金2030年共存于央行储备 1758783918 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份; x/ c2 k4 m+ S" p4 c
; l. P N$ r9 h报告中特别强调了这一论断。1 U: B5 x6 e! u* F
美元抛售推高比特币( R0 U. t/ c- `0 `$ O: D, j- i% o" q
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以* z4 Q4 X; D: V0 G
* T: a' v1 N b, X) X. {: f
来的最低水平。0 q0 ?* S/ u2 h- ~/ ~ Z
7 q, |$ m8 j" y3 A) l! A8 k5 Y0 K“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”4 _, \0 a ~# [. R* C5 G' R" B) X: f
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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. f5 j [) b0 z3 |% ], e数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。" d7 N: J; I% }8 ~+ @" T8 P/ U. A1 F
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推: b( p+ t: F0 O
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高黄金和比特币的价格。- t, r/ Z# R; y' j, K
8 U% f: M* r3 x3 O下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化: R1 s! G4 E/ D" ^
* {5 h: F' e/ I3 D% F1 G* R4 l' \
剂。" u; s3 |! o/ k3 n3 ]7 I* e! V+ j
! Z2 b: d; C9 F1 Z. i5 Z# n5 |这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破: ?: L% ~: m5 A) k9 f
7 r+ Z7 j* i p9 L了8.7万美元。
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, {' ~% A$ D% `$ I3 h! {) n然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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+ o- ~3 u L, x n2 R w% C) z分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。% e2 H7 s( v. ^
0 I- |: i: T4 z, D, D“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”* y3 }1 x* U; L$ d% v$ T2 Y6 i
* B, D% b9 L" g' x8 oCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交2 r# d* n. L1 W9 v* \
Q- h9 {7 ~' R. A( r8 P; v易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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